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Excelsior and FC Volendam drew 1-1 at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion in an Eredivisie match where our model favoured an Excelsior win at 52 percent probability, a pick that did not land. Excelsior's recent form showed one win, two draws and one loss across five matches, with both teams scoring in all five of those outings. Volendam arrived in worse shape, managing one win, one draw and three losses in their last five, though both teams found the net again here. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The stalemate left both teams unchanged in the standings. Excelsior stayed 14th, two points clear of the relegation zone, while Volendam remained 16th. Our model suggested Excelsior's xG advantage indicated they should have won; instead, the result represented a missed opportunity for the home side to build on their recent 5-0 victory over Utrecht.
Excelsior drew 1-1 at home, extending their pattern of mixed results. They generated 1.06 xG but could not convert dominance into three points. Their last five matches showed one win, two draws, and one loss; this result kept them in 14th place. Both sides found the net, continuing Excelsior's 100% both-teams-to-score streak across recent fixtures.
FC Volendam secured a point on the road despite poor underlying form. They managed 0.34 xG, reflecting limited attacking threat in a side that has won just once in five matches. The draw marked their second result without defeat, though they remain 16th with four goals scored and eight conceded across their last five outings.