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EFL Championship · MW6 Pride Park Stadium, DerbyRef: James Bell
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Derby 0-1 West Brom result, stats and report

Derby
Lost · xG 1.37
0 – 1
FT 16:26
Won · xG 0.77
West Brom
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Sheffield Utd v Derby · Sat 24 Oct · Preston v West Brom · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Derby vs West Brom?

Derby 0-1 West Brom, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which did not land.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

West Brom won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 6 · 16:26Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Derby 0–1 West Brom

West Brom arrive at Pride Park on Wednesday with a maximum six points from their opening two Championship games, while Derby are still searching for a winning pattern after a stuttering start to the 2026/27 season.

Key Takeaways
Result

West Brom won 1-0 away at Derby.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
A
16'⚽
Aune Heggebø
JAssist: Jimmy-Jay Morgan
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Derby 1.37 xGWest Brom 0.77 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Derby to win

38%Missed

Result

Derby0:1West Brom

Derby v West Brom

Our model leaned Derby to win at 38%. Derby 0-1 West Brom. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Derby fell to West Brom 0-1 at Pride Park in a Championship match that saw our model back a Derby win at 38 percent probability; the pick missed. West Brom's superior recent form, three wins in their last five games against Derby's two, proved decisive. Both sides had shown a 60 percent both-teams-to-score rate over their recent runs, but neither team managed a goal in the opening period, and West Brom's single strike proved enough to secure the points. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Derby v West Brom · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Nat PhillipsWest Brom★ MOTM90 min7.5
  2. Aune Selland HeggebøWest Brom1 goal · 46 min7.3
  3. Max Edward O’LearyWest Brom90 min7.3
  4. Jimmy-Jay Morgan1 assist · 90 min7.2
  5. Jayson Patrick MolumbyWest Brom90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Derby win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Derby
38.1%
Draw
27.0%
West Brom
34.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.5%
Over 2.5 goals
48.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Derby win was the highest probability; the match result was West Brom win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Derby and West Brom, landing 2 times across 10 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 6/10recorded league meetings saw both teams score (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5league matches at home unbeaten for Derby.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Derby scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • West Brom scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Derby have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • West Brom have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Jimmy-Jay Morgan has the highest listed average xGOT for West Brom at 0.59 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Derby vs West Brom?
    West Brom beat Derby 1-0 in the EFL Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Aune Heggebø opened the scoring in the 16th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Aune Heggebø (16').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    James Bell officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Derby vs West Brom kicked off on Wednesday, 9 September 2026 UK time at Pride Park Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Derby play Sheffield Utd on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. West Brom play Preston on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.