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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Almería took all three points at Córdoba with goals from Brian Cipenga and substitute Thalys, winning 2-0 despite Córdoba dominating possession and creating far more attempts on goal.
Almería took all three points at Córdoba with goals from Brian Cipenga and substitute Thalys, winning 2-0 despite Córdoba dominating possession and creating far more attempts on goal.
La Liga 2Sat 12 Sept, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Almería won 2-0 away at Córdoba.
Goals
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
Almería won against the run of the chances: Córdoba 1.82 to Almería 0.43 on expected goals, which favoured Córdoba.
First Goal
B
52'⚽
Brian Cipenga
LAssist: Léo Baptistão
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Córdoba 1.82 xGAlmería 0.43 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Córdoba to win
38%Missed
Result
0:2
CÓR v ALM
Our model leaned Córdoba to win at 38%. Córdoba 0-2 Almería. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Córdoba fell to Almería 0-2 at home, a result that cost our model's pick of a Córdoba win at 38 percent probability. The hosts, who had won two of their last five, failed to convert despite a recent pattern of both teams scoring in four of five matches. Almería's recent form had been mixed, yet they controlled the contest to secure three points in La Liga 2. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Córdoba win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
CÓR
38.0%
Draw
26.9%
ALM
35.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.6%
Over 2.5 goals
46.0%
Full-time forecast audit: Córdoba win was the highest probability; the match result was Almería win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.