Chelsea vs Leeds pre-match centre
Chelsea
Kickoff
9 Sept
Leeds
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Provider prediction · not a Tip
Match intelligence
ChelseaLeedsCarabao Cup
The provider forecast gives Chelsea win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.0%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.
- Chelsea
- 59.0%
- Draw
- 20.4%
- Leeds
- 20.5%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 57.0%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60.5%
Provider forecast checked ·
Evidence and authority
- Provider forecast
- SportMonks supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
- SportSignals transformation
- We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
- Market consensus
- Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
- Tip and Plus Edge
- A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Match Probabilities
Full-Time Result
59%
20%
21%
59.0%Chelsea
20.4%Draw
20.5%Leeds
Both Teams to Score
Yes 57.0%No 43.0%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Yes 60.5%No 39.5%
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
39%
Most Likely Correct Scores
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
More markets
On the double chance our model rates Chelsea or draw at 62.8%; the most likely half-time state is Chelsea leading at half-time at 42.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 14.6%.
Double Chance
1X
62.8%
12
4.5%
X2
32.7%
Half-Time Result
Chelsea
42.5%
Draw
38.5%
Leeds
19.0%
Half-Time / Full-Time
HT \ FT
Chelsea
Draw
Leeds
Chelsea
38.6%
4.0%
1.8%
Draw
18.3%
12.1%
7.5%
Leeds
2.8%
3.9%
11.0%
BTTS in Both Halves
Yes
14.6%
No
85.4%
Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.