This site contains betting-related content and is intended for users aged 18 and over. You must be 18 or older to gamble.
Connor Maguire · 13 May 2026
Celtic 3, Rangers 1. Write it down. That is the scoreline from Parkhead, and it tells you most of what you need to know about where these two clubs are right now.
The thing is, this was not a surprise. You look at the league table and the story is right there in front of you. Celtic sit top with 77 points from 36 games. Rangers are second with 76 points from 36. One point separates them at the top of the Scottish Premiership, and Celtic have just put three past their rivals. This was not a result that came from nowhere.
Celtic have won 23, drawn 8, and lost just 5 this season. They have scored 63 goals and conceded 31. Their goal difference stands at plus 32. Rangers, to their credit, are not far behind on paper. Twenty-four wins, a goal difference of plus 29. Both clubs have been consistent all season.
But on the day it mattered, in the fixture that counts most, Celtic were the better side. By three goals to one. That is accountability. That is performing when standards are demanded of you.
Listen, I do not need to overcomplicate this. When you look at two sides this close on points, a 3-1 home win in the Old Firm is a statement. It is the kind of result that decides titles. Celtic knew what was required and they delivered it. Rangers did not compete at the level they needed to.
With Celtic on 77 points and Rangers on 76, the gap heading into the final two games of the season is now two points in Celtic's favour, with Celtic having played one game fewer than Rangers at the time this fixture was played.
Rangers have scored 67 goals this season. More than Celtic. They have won more games. By the raw numbers, this has been an outstanding Rangers campaign. The thing is, none of that matters if you cannot win the big one.
Celtic's defensive record is the difference. Thirty-one goals conceded against Rangers' 38. That is basics. That is organisation at the back. That is a unit that understands what it means to keep the door shut. Rangers concede more, and in a title race decided by fine margins, that costs you.
Old Firm games are not won by clever systems. They are won by desire. By attitude. By the player who wins the second ball and the one who puts his body on the line when it hurts. Celtic had more of that on Sunday.
Rangers got a goal back, so to be fair, they were in it at some point. But getting a consolation in a 3-1 defeat does not mask what was a poor performance when the stakes were highest. You do not get credit for making it respectable. You came to win. You did not win. End of.
Rangers' league record this season shows 8 defeats from 36 games. Five of those defeats belong to Celtic on the same record. This tells you something about where each side drops points. Rangers lose more often. In a title race, that matters every single week, not just in the derby.
Our signal on this match was Celtic to win at odds of 2.0 with Coral. The model gave them a 52.4% chance. That signal has landed.
I backed this with conviction because the basics supported it. Celtic at home in an Old Firm fixture, on the back of a solid defensive season, with a point to prove at the top of the table. You do not need anything more complicated than that. You watch the football. You see which side shows up to compete. Celtic did.
The over 2.5 goals signal was also there at 1.53. Four goals were scored. That has landed too. Listen, when the model says 66% and the market says 65%, you are looking at a thin edge. But the football told you the same thing. Two sides at the top of the league, both capable of scoring, in the most charged fixture in Scottish football. Goals were coming. They came.
The both teams to score signal was listed as pending at the time of writing. Rangers scored. Celtic scored three. BTTS yes has landed.
Celtic are two points clear at the top with a game in hand. They are in control. Rangers need results to go their way and they need to win their remaining games without dropping anything.
The thing is, Rangers have the goals in them. Sixty-seven scored this season is not a struggling attack. But their defence has been the question mark all year. Thirty-eight conceded in 36 games. When you are chasing a title and your defensive record is that soft, you are always vulnerable. You cannot keep gifting goals and expect to win a championship. That is unacceptable at this level.
Celtic's manager has this side set up to be hard to beat first. Goals come after that. That is the right order of things. Win the battles at the back, then hurt you on the counter. Rangers have been more expansive, more attacking. Good football to watch. But football is a results business.
Celtic 3-1 Rangers. A deserved win. A title statement. Celtic showed desire, they executed the basics, and they punished Rangers when it counted. Rangers had their moments but did not have the defensive standards or the mental resolve to stay in this game when it mattered most.
The title is Celtic's to lose now. Two points, a game in hand, and momentum from the biggest win of the season. If they take care of their own business, that is your Scottish Premiership champions. End of.
