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EFL Championship · MW12Ref: Tim Robinson
Full time

This match had live commentary, momentum and in-play prices; no stats.

Cardiff City 1-0 Birmingham result, stats and report

Cardiff City
Won · xG 2.17
1 – 0
FT 22:25
Lost · xG 1.10
Birmingham
Next: Wolves v Cardiff City · Sat 31 Oct · Lincoln City v Birmingham · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Cardiff City vs Birmingham?

Cardiff City 1-0 Birmingham, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Cardiff City to win, which landed.

How it played out

CDF won it 1–0

HT
Verified final · revision 1 · 17:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Cardiff City 1–0 Birmingham

Yousef Salech missed a penalty then scored the winner as Cardiff City beat Birmingham 1-0 at Cardiff City Stadium, ending the visitors' five-match unbeaten run in the Championship.

Key Takeaways
Result

Cardiff City beat Birmingham 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Cardiff City 2.17 to Birmingham 1.10 on expected goals.

First Goal
Y
31'⚽
Yousef Salech
OAssist: Ollie Tanner
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Cardiff City 2.02 xGBirmingham 0.87 xG
Cumulative · measured from in-play shots
0'45'90'

Pressure Index

Cardiff CityBirmingham
Per-minute · from in-play data
HTFT

Sampled every minute from in-play data. Higher values reflect the side dominating possession, shots, and corners.

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Cardiff City to win

48%Matched

Result

Cardiff City1:0Birmingham

CDF v Birmingham

Our model called Cardiff City to win at 48%. Cardiff City 1-0 Birmingham. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Cardiff City host Birmingham in the Championship on Saturday, October 24th at 14:00 UTC. Cardiff have won two of their last five, though both teams to score has landed in all five of their recent outings. Birmingham have managed just one win in five games and have failed to score in each of their last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Cardiff City v Birmingham · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Jack Moylan★ MOTM87 min7.9
  2. Perry NgCDF90 min7.8
  3. Will FishCDF90 min7.6
  4. Alex RobertsonCDF90 min7.5
  5. Joel BaganCDF90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Cardiff City win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CDF
48.0%
Draw
24.9%
Birmingham
27.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.0%
Over 2.5 goals
56.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Cardiff City win was the highest probability; the match result was Cardiff City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Cardiff City and Birmingham, landing 4 times across 16 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8/16recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 14league matches at home unbeaten for Cardiff City.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 6league matches away from home unbeaten for Birmingham.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Cardiff City scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Birmingham scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Cardiff City have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Birmingham have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Yousef Salech has the highest listed average xGOT for Cardiff City at 0.59 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Phil Neumann has the highest listed average xGOT for Birmingham at 0.51 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Cardiff City vs Birmingham?
    CDF beat Birmingham 1-0 in the EFL Championship.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Yousef Salech opened the scoring in the 31st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Yousef Salech (31').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Tim Robinson officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    CDF vs Birmingham kicked off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    6 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Cardiff City to win, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    CDF play Wolves on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. Birmingham play Lincoln City on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.