Bastia vs Le Mans
Post-match recap
The record of the gameKickoff is 18:00 UTC. Both sides have scored in 75% of their last five matches; Bastia show one win, two draws and one loss over that span, while Le Mans sit on two wins and two draws with no defeats. 18+. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This is a significant gap in league standing; Le Mans lead Bastia by 15 positions. The visitors are promotion contenders while Bastia battle relegation concerns in late season. Both sides show identical 75% BTTS rates and 25% clean sheet percentages, suggesting attacking intent. Le Mans' recent momentum and superior goal difference should weigh heavily in their favour.
Bastia occupy 17th place with mixed recent form; one win, two draws, one loss across their last five. They've conceded 6 goals in that span while scoring 6, generating 7.00 xG. Both teams in this fixture show 75% BTTS likelihood. Their clean sheet rate sits at 25%. Recent wins came against Saint-Étienne (2-0) and Guingamp (1-0), though they lost 3-4 at Red Star.
Le Mans sit second, unbeaten in five matches with two wins and two draws. They've scored 9 goals while conceding just 6 across their recent run. Our model identifies them as the stronger unit here; their form string reads DDWW. A 4-0 victory over Pau and 1-0 win at Clermont demonstrate control. Clean sheet rate matches Bastia at 25%.