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La Liga · MW10 Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, MadridRef: José María Sánchez Martínez

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
16h 59m
Atletico Madrid 60%Draw 23%COR 17%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Atletico Madrid or Deportivo La Coruña?

Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña kicks off UK time in La Liga. The match is at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid. Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 49.6% modelled probability.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Atletico Madrid has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw23.1%
COR16.6%
BTTS yes48.7%

Updated

Over 2.550.4%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Atletico Madrid and Deportivo La Coruña, landing 2 times across 8 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 3/8recorded league meetings saw both teams score (37.5%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 43league matches at home unbeaten for Atletico Madrid.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Atletico Madrid scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Deportivo La Coruña scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Atletico Madrid have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Deportivo La Coruña have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Jonathan David has the highest listed average xGOT for Atletico Madrid at 0.69 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 8

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
12.2
xG for
12
Goals
4.7
xGA
Last 6 matches
7.6
xG for
8▲ +0.4
Goals
6.5
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Atletico MadridNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Atletico Madrid recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D10.89
2W11.39
3W21.32
4W22.33
5W22.39
6W43.83
Deportivo La CoruñaNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Deportivo La Coruña recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D11.46
2L22.12
3D12.03
4L00.30
5D10.78
6W30.87
Atletico Madrid have taken more points than their chances were worth: 16 points against 12.3 expected. Deportivo La Coruña have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 6 points against 8.6 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Atletico Madrid generated 12.2 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 12, almost exactly in line with that chance total. Deportivo La Coruña generated 7.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 8, 0.4 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Atletico Madrid: 6 matches · COR: 6
Recent team comparison. Atletico Madrid sample 6; Deportivo La Coruña sample 6.
MeasureAtletico MadridDeportivo La Coruña
Goals / game21.33
Conceded / game0.51.5
xG / game2.031.27
xG conceded / game0.781.08
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Atletico Madrid v Deportivo La Coruña

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Atletico Madrid11 starters
13Oblak
5Llorente
17Hancko
18Pubill
2Giménez
8Barrios
23González
COR11 starters
23Navarro
12Quagliata
4Noubi
21Soriano
16Gragera
8Villares
32Tonfack
19Cruz
7Mulattieri
10Hernández
11Mella
Out / doubtful
🩹 Zakaria Eddahchouri injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Atletico Madrid v Deportivo La Coruña · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
    Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña takes place on Saturday 24 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the La Liga at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid.
  • Who is the model backing in Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
    Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals (totals), with around 50% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • How can I watch Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for La Liga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 24 Oct, 20:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.