This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.
Almería 2-1 Burgos result, stats and report
Who won Almería vs Burgos?
Almería 2-1 Burgos, full time in La Liga 2. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Almería 2–1 Burgos
Almería head into Sunday's La Liga 2 clash having lost their last two on the bounce. Burgos arrive with three wins from their last five and every reason to fancy themselves on the road.
Almería beat Burgos 2-1 at home.
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: Almería 2.45 to Burgos 0.85 on expected goals.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Almería to win
Result
2:1
ALM v BUR
📊 Match recap and data context
Almería beat Burgos 2-1 in La Liga 2, landing our model's 56% pick for an Almería win. Burgos struck first through Jon Karrikaburu in the 40th minute, but Almería turned it around with goals from Brian Cipenga at 77 minutes and Miguel de la Fuente at 84 minutes. The hosts secured three points despite conceding early. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Almería v Burgos · La Liga 2 ·
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Almería win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- ALM
- 56.3%
- Draw
- 25.2%
- BUR
- 18.5%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 51.5%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.6%
Full-time forecast audit: Almería win was the highest probability; the match result was Almería win.
Forecast result checked ·
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
Final live-fact record
- For Burgos, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 6 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Burgos, the final recorded goal situation matched 20 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
- For Almería, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 6 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Almería, the final recorded goal situation matched 25 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
- 2-0is the most common scoreline between Almería and Burgos, landing 2 times across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 2/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (33.3%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 42league matches at home unbeaten for Almería.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 9league matches away from home unbeaten for Burgos.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Almería scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Burgos scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
What was the final score in Almería vs Burgos?
ALM beat BUR 2-1 in the La Liga 2.Who scored the opening goal?
Jon Karrikaburu opened the scoring in the 40th minute.Who scored in the match?
Jon Karrikaburu (40'), Brian Cipenga (77'), Miguel de la Fuente (84').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 5 yellow cards.Who refereed the match?
Iosu Galech Apezteguía officiated.When and where was the match played?
ALM vs BUR kicked off on Saturday, 3 October 2026 UK time.How many corners were there in the match?
11 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.When do they play next?
ALM play Almería on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. BUR play FC Andorra on Monday, 26 October 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.