ALMvELD
xG lean
Almeríato win
1.34bwin1.33Coral1.33bet365
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Almería vs Eldense kicks off UK time in La Liga 2. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 52.6% modelled probability (fair decimal price 1.90), best priced 2.00 with bet365 as observed 17 Aug, 04:55. The value angle is Eldense to win at a displayed price of 9.80, 9.3 percentage points above our modelled fair price.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Both teams to score
Our model rates this at 53% (fair decimal price 1.90); the verified best displayed price implies 50% and was observed 17 Aug, 04:55.
Eldense to win
The timestamped displayed price sits 9.3 percentage points above our modelled fair line for this outcome (fair decimal price 5.12).
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Model, set before kick-offMarket, implied by the best pre-match price
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Historical record only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Match preview
Almería host Eldense at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos on Monday night in La Liga 2. The home side carry real authority at this ground. Eldense carry almost nothing we can measure. Connor Maguire breaks it down.
Read the full preview →Model probability per scoreline. Almería goals first in each score.
18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
The model's most likely half-time picture, priced where our tracked bookmakers offer the market.
No tracked bookmaker is pricing this market yet.
18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
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18+ · Information, not advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware.org
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Eldense
Almería hosts Eldense in La Liga 2 on August 17 at 19:30 UTC. Almería have won one of their last five matches while drawing two and losing two; both teams scored in 80 percent of those outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Both clubs occupy the lower half of La Liga 2, separated by one position. Almería's 80% BTTS rate indicates open, attacking football; their defensive vulnerabilities create space for Eldense. The fixture arrives early in the 2026-27 season, so form may be volatile. Almería need to arrest their defensive leakage; Eldense face a stern test at a side with recent offensive output.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Almería v Eldense · La Liga 2 ·
Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.