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How SportSignals works
A prediction is an estimate. A Tip is a separately published selection. Here is the process, in plain English.
Estimate the chances
The model turns the available match data into a probability for each outcome.
Check current prices
We compare that probability with fresh odds from bookmakers available in your region.
Remove weak signals
Stale prices, incomplete data and opportunities below the current checks are left out.
Settle every result
Published Tips and model predictions are settled in their own public records.
The model record measures resolved predictions
This is not the Tips ledger. It tracks model calls after the relevant matches have been resolved.
- Accuracy
- 63.5%
- Resolved predictions
- 49,931
The settled ledger keeps winning and losing Tips
Each published selection is recorded with its price, stake and settled result so the whole record remains visible.
- Return on stakes
- +4.81%
- Settled Tips
- 126
Terms on this page
Three useful definitions
- Prediction
- The model's estimated probability for an outcome before it is compared with a market price.
- Edge
- The difference between the model probability and the implied probability of an eligible captured price.
- Qualified Tip
- A published selection that passed the current price, edge, freshness and data-quality gates.
Popular competitions and reviewed analysis
Open an active league or continue with recently reviewed football analysis.
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By David Adams ·Football predictions and odds FAQs
How probabilities, qualified Tips, bookmaker odds, league filters and public performance records work.
What does a SportSignals football prediction show?
A football prediction is the model's estimated probability for an outcome, such as a home win, draw or away win. The percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee, and it remains separate from any bookmaker price or published Tip.
When does a prediction become a qualified Tip?
A model favourite does not automatically become a Tip. A Tip is a separately published selection that also passed the current price, edge, freshness and data-quality checks at the recorded time.
How current are the football odds shown here?
Odds are captured snapshots and can move after they are shown. SportSignals considers fresh, unsuspended prices from bookmakers eligible for the resolved region, attributes each price to its source and does not silently substitute a price from another country.
What does edge mean in football betting?
Edge is the difference between the model probability and the probability implied by an eligible captured price. It describes a measured gap at that moment; it does not mean the outcome will win.
How are prediction accuracy and Tips returns measured?
Prediction accuracy and settled Tips returns are separate records. Accuracy measures resolved model predictions, while Tips return uses the recorded selection, price and stake in the Tips ledger. The dates, sample sizes and methods are shown with each record.
What changes for a visitor, a free member and a SportSignals+ member?
Visitors can browse fixtures, public predictions, available odds and the public evidence pages. A free account can save preferences and opens the free portions of Tips and SportSignals+ boards. A SportSignals+ membership opens the member tools and rows described on the current Plus page.
Why do the available football leagues change when I change the date?
The league selector only lists competitions with fixtures in the active match window. Changing from today to tomorrow or the next seven days changes the fixture set, so the available league choices and match counts can change too.
Can SportSignals guarantee a winning football bet?
No. Probabilities, odds comparisons, edges and past records cannot guarantee a future result. They are information to support your own judgement. Only bet what you can afford to lose and use the responsible-gambling controls available to you.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Odds are snapshots and can move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. BeGambleAware.org