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Avellino vs Modena Prediction, Odds & Tips

Avellino vs Modena Prediction and Tips

Serie B
Full TimeFriday, 8 May 2026
Our take

Avellino defeated Modena 1-0 in Serie B, with our model's pre-match pick of an Avellino win at 37% probability landing as expected. The home side controlled the match effectively, keeping Modena's attack at bay despite the visitors' recent tendency toward both teams scoring in 60% of their last five outings. Avellino's defensive solidity proved decisive against a Modena side that had managed just two draws in their previous five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Avellino vs Modena Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Our AI analyses form, head-to-head records, squad news and odds to provide data-driven predictions for Avellino vs Modena. All tips are for informational purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You must be 18 or over to gamble. Please gamble responsibly. For help, visit GambleAware.

Our pick

Avellino to win

37%Won

Result

Avellino1:0Modena

AVE v MOD

Our model called Avellino to win at 37%. Avellino 1-0 Modena. Pick landed.

AI Prediction Result

Avellino to winWon โœ“
Probability
36.9%
Home
36.9%
Draw
27.1%
Away
36.1%

18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Avellino

AVE

L W L W W3Wยท0Dยท2LBTTS 0%

Avellino secured a 1-0 victory, extending their winning streak to 2 matches. The hosts controlled proceedings and kept a clean sheet, their second in five games. This result aligns with their recent upturn; they had won 2 of their last 5 before this fixture. The victory moved them closer to the playoff positions in Serie B, consolidating their position in 8th place.

Modena

MOD

L L W L L1Wยท0Dยท4LBTTS 40%

Modena suffered their third loss in five matches, managing 5.00 xG but failing to convert. The visitors have now failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 outings, conceding 8 goals across that span. Their defensive frailty proved costly; despite competing, they could not breach Avellino's backline. The defeat extended their winless run to four games.

Run-in & context

The result marked a significant divergence in momentum. Avellino climbed points on a struggling Modena side, whose form has deteriorated sharply with just 2 draws in their last 5. Modena dropped from 6th to a lower position following the loss. Our model flagged Modena's 0% clean sheets percentage as a critical vulnerability; Avellino exploited this weakness efficiently to secure three points.

Injury impact

  • AVE are missing 1 player ruled out, including Leonardo Marson.

  • MOD have a near-full squad available.

Venue

Venue to be confirmed.

Weather

Weather data unavailable for this venue.

Set pieces

  • AvellinoUnavailable
  • ModenaUnavailable

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

37%
27%
36%
36.9%AVE
27.1%Draw
36.1%MOD

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 55.7%No 44.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.6%No 49.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%
More Markets

Double Chance

1X
45.1%
12
7.3%
X2
47.6%

Half-Time Result

AVE
27.5%
Draw
44.9%
MOD
27.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.6%
No
95.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Match Centre

Lineups, live stats, full odds comparison, and in-depth match data for Avellino vs Modena.

View Match Centre

SSR Ratings & Movement

Metric
Avellino crestAVE
Modena crestMOD
Overall1502+11.91394-11.9
Attack1522+2.81604-12.8
Defence1468+5.71324+4.3
Goals Index1492-5.21638-14.8
BTTS Index1483-6.41605-13.6

๐Ÿ“ Post-Match Analysis

Avellino 1-0 Modena: How a Single Goal Decided a Match the Model Thought Was Open

Avellino ground out a narrow 1-0 win over Modena in Serie B, defying pre-match signals that pointed toward goals at both ends. The result is worth examining through a coaching lens, because the struct...

Sophie Hargreaves8 May
Read full analysisโ†’

Form Guide (Last 5)

Avellino crestAVE
MODModena crest
LWLWW
LLWLL
3-0-2Record (W-D-L)1-0-4
5Goals Scored3
60%Clean Sheet %0%
0%BTTS %40%

Head-to-Head

1 meetings
Matches
Venue
AVEDrawsMOD
1W (100%)0D (0%)0W (0%)
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
MarketCountRateStreak
BTTS (Yes)0/10%-
Over 2.50/10%-
Over 1.50/10%-
Under 2.51/1100%1
AVE Clean Sheet1/1100%1
MOD Clean Sheet0/10%-

Match History

8 May 26
AvellinoAvellino crest
1-0
Modena crestModena
W

Match facts at a glance

Kickoff
Competition
Serie B
Last meeting
Avellino 1-0 Modena (8 May 2026)
BTTS this season ยท Avellino
0%
BTTS this season ยท Modena
40%
Our prediction
Avellino to win (37%)
Our value pick
Modena Win (+20.7% edge vs market)

Frequently Asked Questions

Curious how this prediction was produced? See our methodology.

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All predictions and analysis on this page are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds displayed are sourced from third-party bookmakers and are subject to change. SportSignals may receive commission from bookmaker links on this page.

Last updated 6 days ago ยท