Last updated: 15 May 2026. Match date: Sunday 24 May 2026, Serie A.

The Situation

Two teams with very different problems heading into the final weeks of the Serie A season. Hellas Verona are sitting 17th on 37 points from 36 games. Nine wins all season. That is a relegation battle. That is a group of players who have not done enough. Roma come into this sitting 12th on 44 points. Twelve wins. Not a crisis, but not acceptable for a club of that size either. The thing is, this fixture is not about ambition. It is about who competes harder on the day. End of.

Where Verona Stand

Thirty-seven points from 36 matches. They have won nine, drawn ten, lost seventeen. They have shipped 51 goals this season. That is a defence that does not defend. Listen, you cannot concede 51 goals in 36 games and act surprised when you are looking over your shoulder at the drop zone.

The teams below them at 18th, 19th, and 20th have 31, 20, and 18 points respectively. Verona are not mathematically safe yet. Three points from safety at the bottom of the pack. They need something from this game. That should give them urgency. Whether they show it is another matter entirely.

They have scored only 36 goals all season. That is one of the lowest tallies in the division. They are not creating enough. They are not taking their chances. Basics. The basics are not there.

Where Roma Stand

Twelfth place on 44 points. Twelve wins, eight draws, sixteen defeats. They have conceded 59 goals. Fifty-nine. For a club with Roma's resources and history, that is unacceptable. Their attacking output is 41 goals, which is modest at best.

The thing is, Roma have enough quality to win this game. They are the better team on paper. A 62% win probability from the model reflects that, and I do not need a laptop to agree with it. Verona at home with nothing but fear and desperation is a dangerous environment, but Roma should have the attitude and the standards to handle that.

Away from home, Roma have to show desire. Not just possession. Not just shape. Desire. The ability to compete when it gets scrappy, when Verona make it ugly, when the crowd is on their backs. That is what decides these games.

The League Context

Two games left in the season. The title race at the top is well over. First place has 85 points with a goal difference of plus 54. They ran away with it. Second and third are separated by two points on 70 and 68 respectively. The European spots are already being carved out above both these clubs.

Verona and Roma are playing this out in the grey zone of mid-to-lower table Serie A. No trophies. No European football on the line for either of them at this stage. For Verona it is survival. For Roma it is pride and the final standings. Neither of those is nothing. But one of them means a lot more.

Team News and Injuries

The injury data available at time of publication is clear. There is none listed. No confirmed absences on either side as of 15 May. That can change. With nine days to go before kick-off, monitor both clubs for any late fitness concerns. When that information emerges, this preview will be updated. For now, both squads are assumed available.

The Prediction

The model gives Roma a 62% win probability. I back Roma to win this game. They are the better squad. They are away from home, yes, but Verona have the defensive record of a team that has been beaten regularly all season. Fifty-one goals conceded tells you everything about their backline's accountability.

Roma should have enough to get through this. The question is whether they show up with the right attitude or whether this becomes one of those end-of-season performances where players are already on the beach. That is the risk with any club in this position on the final stretch. Standards cannot drop. Not with points to play for and a team below you that desperately needs to win.

Listen, if Roma cannot beat a Verona side who have lost seventeen times this season, that tells you something very uncomfortable about where that club is headed. Back Roma. One selection. No accumulator nonsense.

Pick: AS Roma to win. Model probability 62%.

Final Word

Verona need the points more. That can produce a performance or it can produce panic. I have seen both. Roma need to arrive ready to compete from the first whistle, not coast through on reputation. The basics, the desire, the accountability in defensive moments. Those things decide games at this end of the table. Roma have the quality. It comes down to whether they use it.