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North Ferriby host St Helens in the FA Cup on August 8th at 14:00 UTC. Our model backs North Ferriby to win at 59% probability. North Ferriby have won their last match and kept a clean sheet; St Helens have drawn once in their last five outings but have conceded in all five games. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The draw leaves both sides without progression to the next FA Cup round, requiring a replay or extra-time resolution. North Ferriby's clean sheet streak ended after five matches, while St Helens' winless stretch extended to three games. Our model flagged St Helens' zero clean sheets percentage as a significant vulnerability; this result confirmed that weakness in a cup tie where defensive solidity often decides knockout football.
North Ferriby drew 2-2 at home after entering the match on a one-win streak. They conceded twice despite a 100% clean sheet record in their last five outings, suggesting defensive vulnerability despite recent form. The hosts scored twice but failed to convert their advantage into victory. Their recent 1-0 win at Liversedge proved unrepresentative of this performance.
St Helens extended their winless run to three matches with a 2-2 draw. Both sides scored in this contest, consistent with their 100% both-teams-to-score rate across recent games. The visitors conceded twice while netting twice, maintaining their pattern of defensive fragility; they have shipped 3 goals across their last two outings.
Edge · SportSignals+
Closing-line value and settled EV for every pick in this match.
Open SportSignals+Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.