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San Lorenzo 1 Independiente 2, full time in Argentine Liga Profesional. Our model's pre-match pick was San Lorenzo to win, which did not land.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
San Lorenzo 1–2 Independiente
Independiente grabbed a brilliant away win at San Lorenzo, running out 2-1 winners in a Liga Profesional clash that leaves the home side with serious questions to answer. The model fancied San Lorenzo at 41% but football, as always, had other ideas.
Our pick
San Lorenzo to win
Result
1:2SLO v IND
Independiente won 2-1 away at San Lorenzo.
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Independiente won against the run of the chances: San Lorenzo 2.77 to Independiente 1.76 on expected goals, which favoured San Lorenzo.
Independiente grabbed a brilliant away win at San Lorenzo, running out 2-1 winners in a Liga Profesional clash that leaves the home side with serious questions to answer. The model fancied San Lorenzo at 41% but football, as always, had other ideas.
Read full report →
Rodrigo Auzmendi+18 more events without full detail from the data feed.
Expected Goals (xG)
The Argentine Liga Profesional table is split into conferences, so a single ladder here would repeat rank numbers. See the full standings →
The match finished 1-2 to Independiente.
Independiente won the match 2-1.
The match took place on Saturday, 2 May 2026.
San Lorenzo fell to Independiente 1-2 in Argentine Liga Profesional play. Our model favored a San Lorenzo win at 41 percent probability, a pick that did not land. The result bucked recent form for the hosts, who had won their last outing and kept a clean sheet in their previous fixture. Independiente, meanwhile, delivered on their tendency toward high-scoring affairs; they had registered both goals in 67 percent of their last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The result moved Independiente closer to the top of the table, consolidating fifth place with three points gained. San Lorenzo remained seventh, unable to narrow the gap through a home fixture. Independiente's 67% BTTS rate materialized here, while San Lorenzo's defensive record suffered its first breach in recent matches, signaling a potential shift in form for both sides.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
San Lorenzo v Independiente · Argentine Liga Profesional ·
Edge · SportSignals+
Closing-line value and settled EV for every pick in this match.
Open SportSignals+Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
