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Start vs Tromsø Prediction, Odds & Tips

Start vs Tromsø Prediction and Tips

Norwegian Eliteserien
Full TimeSunday, 3 May 2026
Our take

Start and Tromsø drew 1-1 in their Norwegian Eliteserien meeting. Our model favoured a Tromsø win at 41% probability, but the pick missed as the sides shared the spoils. Both teams found the net, consistent with Start's recent form where both sides scored in 60% of their last five matches and Tromsø's 67% BTTS rate. Start remain winless in their last five outings, while Tromsø had won two of their previous four. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Start vs Tromsø Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Our AI analyses form, head-to-head records, squad news and odds to provide data-driven predictions for Start vs Tromsø. All tips are for informational purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You must be 18 or over to gamble. Please gamble responsibly. For help, visit GambleAware.

Our pick

Tromsø to win

41%Lost

Result

Start1:1Tromsø

STA v TRO

Our model leaned Tromsø to win at 41%. Start 1-1 Tromsø. Pick missed.

AI Prediction Result

Tromsø to winLost ✗
Probability
40.7%
Home
34.1%
Draw
25.2%
Away
40.7%

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Expected goals (xG)

Match xG total 1.79

STA1.19
TRO0.60
Editor’s preview

Start vs Tromsø Preview: Can Anyone Stop the League Leaders? Norwegian Eliteserien, 3 May 2026

Jay Thompson · 18 April 2026

Last updated: 19 April 2026. This preview will be refreshed again closer to kick-off.

Right, so it's two weeks out and I've been watching this one with serious interest. Start vs Tromsø. Sunday 3 May 2026. Norwegian Eliteserien. And honestly, the more I look at it, the more I think this could be one of those games where the table tells the whole story before a ball is even kicked.

The Table Doesn't Lie

Look at the fixtures. Look at the league standings. Tromsø are sitting pretty at the top of the Eliteserien. First place. And Start? They're down in 15th. That's not just a gap, mate. That's a chasm.

Now I know what you're thinking. "Jay, it's early in the season, anything can happen." And yeah, fair. But here's where it gets properly interesting. Look at the goals. Tromsø have scored 10. TEN. And conceded just 1. That's not a team on a lucky run, that's a team that is absolutely purring right now. Everything going in at one end, fortress at the other.

Start meanwhile... 3 scored, 7 conceded. Three and seven. Those numbers are doing them no favours at all. The goals against column alone tells you they've been having a rough time of it. Both sides are sitting on identical win-draw-loss records of 0-0-0 so we can't read into results directly, but the goal difference? Tromsø are plus nine. Start are minus four. That's a thirteen goal swing between two sides about to face each other. Mad scenes.

Tromsø: Scoring for Fun

Honestly, ten goals already. You can't ignore that. Whatever Tromsø are doing going forward right now, it's working. They're not just nicking wins, they're putting teams to the sword. The defence backing that up with only one goal conceded suggests this isn't a team that's just fluking their way through either. Clean sheets and goals, the dream combination.

They go into this one as league leaders and, if early odds start appearing over the next few days, I'd expect the bookies to have them as clear favourites here. And for once... I actually agree with the bookies. Don't tell anyone.

Start: The Upside of Being in Trouble

Look, I'm not going to pretend Start's numbers are good. They're not. 15th in the table, conceding goals at a worrying rate. But here's the thing about these games... there's always a chance the home side turns up and makes it a proper contest.

Three goals scored means they've got something going forward, at least. They're not completely toothless. And playing at home, with their own fans behind them, against the league leaders? Sometimes that's exactly the kind of game a struggling side needs to spark something. The pressure's all on Tromsø. All of it. No one expects Start to get anything here.

That's either a recipe for a hammering... or the setup for something mad. Football, mate. You never fully know.

Head to Head: What History Tells Us

I'm going to be straight with you here. The data I've got in front of me is focused on current standings and season numbers rather than a full head-to-head history going back years. What I can tell you is that the form picture right now paints a very clear picture. Tromsø in the kind of form they're showing, travelling to a side leaking goals? History might not matter much this weekend.

What I'd be watching for in the build-up over the next fortnight is whether Start can tighten things defensively. Seven conceded already is the kind of stat that opponents notice. Tromsø's attackers will have looked at that and smiled.

Jay's Early Acca Watch

Right. You knew this was coming. It's two weeks out so odds might only just be appearing but I'm already circling this one for the Saturday Special acca. Or Sunday Special this week, obviously.

I'm going big on this one early: Tromsø to win and both teams to score. Hear me out. Tromsø are clearly the better side by every number available. But Start have scored three already and at home they might nick one. Tromsø's one goal conceded shows they're solid but they've got to travel here, and Start will be desperate. BTTS with Tromsø to win. Rolls nicely into a five-fold, doesn't it.

If I'm feeling brave closer to the time, I might even punt on a correct score. Something like 3-1 Tromsø. Reckon that's got a nice ring to it. You heard it here first. Don't @ me when it lands differently.

My overall hit rate on accas? Let's not go into that right now. Back to the drawing board is basically my catchphrase at this point. But this one feels different. It always feels different. That's the beauty of it.

The Verdict at the 14-Day Mark

Two weeks out, here's where I stand. Tromsø are the form team, the league leaders, and they've got the goals and the defensive record to back it up. Start are in a tough spot, sitting 15th and conceding too freely. The gap between these two sides right now, based purely on what the numbers are showing, is significant.

This feels like a game where Tromsø come and do a proper job. Whether Start can find their feet at home and make it competitive is the real question. I reckon they give it a go but ultimately Tromsø's attacking quality is too much.

Keep an eye on this one as we get closer. Final team news and any fitness updates could shift things. Check back for the closer-to-kick-off refresh where I'll have more to work with. This preview is going to get a lot more interesting in a fortnight, trust the process.

Read full preview
Start

STA

L W L L D113LBTTS 80%

Start drew 1-1 at home, extending their winless run to four matches. They generated 7.00 xG but conceded 7 goals across their last five outings, reflecting defensive fragility. The draw offered respite after consecutive defeats to Bodø/Glimt and HamKam, though their 15th-place position underscores deeper struggles. One goal scored matched their recent output inconsistency.

Tromsø

TRO

D D L W D131LBTTS 40%

Tromsø held Start to a 1-1 draw despite league-leading status. They maintained their 50% clean sheet rate and controlled possession effectively. The result followed a 3-1 victory over Sandefjord, keeping their unbeaten streak alive. Two goals across five matches reflected measured attacking; their defensive solidity remained intact with just one goal conceded in that span.

Run-in & context

The draw preserved Tromsø's top position but represented a missed chance to extend their lead. Start gained a point that halted immediate momentum loss but left them 15th, five points adrift of safety. Tromsø's 1W-1D-0L form in their last five suggested they were consolidating rather than accelerating; Start's continued struggles indicated relegation pressure mounting despite the home result.

Injury impact

  • STA have a near-full squad available.

  • TRO have a near-full squad available.

Venue

Venue to be confirmed.

Weather

Weather data unavailable for this venue.

Set pieces

  • StartUnavailable
  • TromsøUnavailable

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
25%
41%
34.1%STA
25.2%Draw
40.7%TRO

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 57.2%No 42.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 54.9%No 45.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%
More Markets

Double Chance

1X
45.5%
12
5.8%
X2
48.7%

Half-Time Result

STA
29.5%
Draw
40.2%
TRO
30.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.0%
No
95.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Match Centre

Lineups, live stats, full odds comparison, and in-depth match data for Start vs Tromsø.

View Match Centre

SSR Ratings & Movement

Metric
Start crestSTA
Tromsø crestTRO
Overall1448+5.21550-5.2
Attack1508+1.21523-1.2
Defence1460+2.01528-2.0
Goals Index1496-9.91482-10.1
BTTS Index1537+8.21467+11.8

📝 Post-Match Analysis

Start 1-1 Tromsø: A Point Each as Eliteserien's Early-Season Picture Stays Tight

Start and Tromsø shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw that did neither side particular favours in the context of a Norwegian Eliteserien season that is already proving fiercely competitive at the top.

Elena Santos7 May
Read full analysis

Form Guide (Last 5)

Start crestSTA
TROTromsø crest
LWLLD
DDLWD
1-1-3Record (W-D-L)1-3-1
8Goals Scored4
20%Clean Sheet %40%
80%BTTS %40%

Head-to-Head

1 meetings
Matches
Venue
STADrawsTRO
0W (0%)1D (100%)0W (0%)
2
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
MarketCountRateStreak
BTTS (Yes)1/1100%1
Over 2.50/10%-
Over 1.51/1100%-
Under 2.51/1100%1
STA Clean Sheet0/10%-
TRO Clean Sheet0/10%-

Match History

3 May 26
StartStart crest
1-1
Tromsø crestTromsø
D

Match facts at a glance

Kickoff
Last meeting
Start 1-1 Tromsø (3 May 2026)
BTTS this season · Start
80%
BTTS this season · Tromsø
40%
Our prediction
Tromsø to win (41%)

Frequently Asked Questions

Curious how this prediction was produced? See our methodology.

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All predictions and analysis on this page are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds displayed are sourced from third-party bookmakers and are subject to change. SportSignals may receive commission from bookmaker links on this page.

Last updated 17 hours ago ·