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SC Freiburg vs Sporting Braga Prediction, Odds & Tips

SC Freiburg vs Sporting Braga Prediction and Tips

UEFA Europa League
Full TimeThursday, 7 May 2026
Our take

SC Freiburg defeated Sporting Braga 3-1 at Europa-Park Stadion in the Europa League. Our model backed a Freiburg win at 43% probability, and the pick landed. Both sides had shown BTTS in all five recent matches, though Freiburg's attack proved decisive on the night. Braga had won their only previous meeting, but Freiburg's home advantage and superior execution in the second half proved the difference. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SC Freiburg vs Sporting Braga Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Our AI analyses form, head-to-head records, squad news and odds to provide data-driven predictions for SC Freiburg vs Sporting Braga. All tips are for informational purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You must be 18 or over to gamble. Please gamble responsibly. For help, visit GambleAware.

Our pick

SC Freiburg to win

43%Won

Result

SC Freiburg3:1Sporting Braga

SC Freiburg v SBR

Our model called SC Freiburg to win at 43%. SC Freiburg 3-1 Sporting Braga. Pick landed.

AI Prediction Result

SC Freiburg to winWon βœ“
Probability
43.0%
Home
43.0%
Draw
23.7%
Away
33.2%

18+ Β· Past performance does not guarantee future results Β· BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Expected goals (xG)

Match xG total 3.56

SC Freiburg2.10
SBR1.46
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

W L D L W2WΒ·1DΒ·2LBTTS 80%

Freiburg dominated at home, securing a 3-1 victory to reverse their away defeat to Braga from their recent fixture. The hosts scored 3 goals and conceded 1, continuing their pattern of both sides finding the net; their last 5 matches showed 1 win, 1 loss, with both teams scoring in all appearances. League position 7 and recent form of win-loss-win suggested they were capable of this response.

Sporting Braga

SBR

D D D L W1WΒ·3DΒ·1LBTTS 80%

Braga suffered a heavy defeat on the road, conceding 3 goals in a 1-3 loss. The visitors managed 1 goal but could not contain Freiburg's attacking play. Their last 5 matches delivered 1 win and 1 loss with both teams scoring in each game; they had scored 5 goals across those fixtures but defensive vulnerabilities proved costly here.

Run-in & context

The result marked a significant swing in the head-to-head dynamic, with Freiburg avenging their 1-2 away loss to Braga. Both sides remain in mid-table positions, 7th and 6th respectively, with this Europa League fixture unlikely to alter their domestic league standings materially. The 2-goal margin represented a clear performance gap on the night.

Injury impact

  • SC Freiburg are missing 2 players ruled out, including Yuito Suzuki, Cyriaque IriΓ©.

  • SBR have a near-full squad available.

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion

Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany

34,700grass

Weather

Weather data unavailable for this venue.

Set pieces

  • SC FreiburgUnavailable
  • Sporting BragaUnavailable

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
24%
33%
43.0%SC Freiburg
23.7%Draw
33.2%SBR

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 55.7%No 44.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 54.9%No 45.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%
More Markets

Double Chance

1X
45.9%
12
5.8%
X2
48.3%

Half-Time Result

SC Freiburg
27.3%
Draw
43.0%
SBR
29.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.7%
No
92.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ Β· Past performance does not guarantee future results Β· BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Match Centre

Lineups, live stats, full odds comparison, and in-depth match data for SC Freiburg vs Sporting Braga.

View Match Centre

SSR Ratings & Movement

Metric
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
Sporting Braga crestSBR
Overall1528+17.31537-17.3
Attack1567+9.41547+0.6
Defence1427+1.41474-11.4
Goals Index1609+8.71559+11.3
BTTS Index1561+8.51523+11.5

πŸ“ Post-Match Analysis

Freiburg 2-0 Braga: Clinical German Side Deliver Biggest Pre-Match Signal Upset of the Europa League Night

SC Freiburg overcame Sporting Braga 2-0 in the UEFA Europa League, producing a controlled performance that ended Braga's hopes and left the model's away win signal firmly in the red.

Elena Santos7 May
Read full analysis→

Form Guide (Last 5)

SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
SBRSporting Braga crest
WLDLW
DDDLW
2-1-2Record (W-D-L)1-3-1
9Goals Scored7
0%Clean Sheet %20%
80%BTTS %80%

Head-to-Head

2 meetings
Matches
Venue
SC FreiburgDrawsSBR
1W (50%)0D (0%)1W (50%)
3.5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
MarketCountRateStreak
BTTS (Yes)2/2100%2
Over 2.52/2100%2
Over 1.52/2100%-
Under 2.50/20%-
SC Freiburg Clean Sheet0/20%-
SBR Clean Sheet0/20%-

Match History

7 May 26
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg crest
3-1
Sporting Braga crestSporting Braga
W
30 Apr 26
Sporting BragaSporting Braga crest
2-1
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
L

Match facts at a glance

Kickoff
Venue
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau Β· capacity 34,700
Last meeting
SC Freiburg 3-1 Sporting Braga (7 May 2026)
Head-to-head record
SC Freiburg 0W Β· 0D Β· 1L Sporting Braga (1 meetings)
Most yellows Β· SC Freiburg
Cyriaque IriΓ© (8 YC)
BTTS this season Β· SC Freiburg
80%
BTTS this season Β· Sporting Braga
80%
Our prediction
SC Freiburg to win (43%)
Our value pick
Sporting Braga Win (+13.2% edge vs market)

Frequently Asked Questions

Curious how this prediction was produced? See our methodology.

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All predictions and analysis on this page are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds displayed are sourced from third-party bookmakers and are subject to change. SportSignals may receive commission from bookmaker links on this page.

Last updated 10 days ago Β·