SportSignals
World Cup 2026Group stage Β· Matchday 3 1 live nowToday: 4 matchesNext: Ecuador v Germany Β· 21:00Full schedule β†’

San Lorenzo vs Independiente Prediction, Odds & Tips

San Lorenzo vs Independiente Prediction and Tips

Argentine Liga Profesional
Full TimeSaturday, 2 May 2026
Our take

San Lorenzo fell to Independiente 1-2 in Argentine Liga Profesional play. Our model favored a San Lorenzo win at 41 percent probability, a pick that did not land. The result bucked recent form for the hosts, who had won their last outing and kept a clean sheet in their previous fixture. Independiente, meanwhile, delivered on their tendency toward high-scoring affairs; they had registered both goals in 67 percent of their last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Independiente vs San Lorenzo Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Our AI analyses form, head-to-head records, squad news and odds to provide data-driven predictions for Independiente vs San Lorenzo. All tips are for informational purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You must be 18 or over to gamble. Please gamble responsibly. For help, visit GambleAware.

Our pick

San Lorenzo to win

41%Lost

Result

San Lorenzo1:2Independiente

SLO v IND

Our model leaned San Lorenzo to win at 41%. San Lorenzo 1-2 Independiente. Pick missed.

AI Prediction Result

San Lorenzo to winLost βœ—
Probability
41.0%
Home
41.0%
Draw
30.4%
Away
28.6%

18+ Β· Past performance does not guarantee future results Β· BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Expected goals (xG)

Match xG total 4.53

SLO2.77
IND1.76
San Lorenzo

SLO

D L W D D1WΒ·3DΒ·1LBTTS 40%

San Lorenzo conceded twice despite entering with a clean sheet streak; they managed only 1 goal in response. The result broke their two-match unbeaten run, which had featured defensive solidity across 4 of their last 5 outings. Positioned seventh, they failed to capitalize on home advantage against a side ranked fifth.

Independiente

IND

L W L W D2WΒ·1DΒ·2LBTTS 80%

Independiente secured a 2-1 victory to extend their winning record to 3 points from this fixture. They scored 2 goals while conceding 1, continuing their pattern of offensive output; their last 5 matches yielded 3 goals for and 4 against. The away win marked their second victory in five games.

Run-in & context

The result moved Independiente closer to the top of the table, consolidating fifth place with three points gained. San Lorenzo remained seventh, unable to narrow the gap through a home fixture. Independiente's 67% BTTS rate materialized here, while San Lorenzo's defensive record suffered its first breach in recent matches, signaling a potential shift in form for both sides.

Venue

Venue to be confirmed.

Weather

Weather data unavailable for this venue.

Set pieces

  • San LorenzoUnavailable
  • IndependienteUnavailable

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
30%
29%
41.0%SLO
30.4%Draw
28.6%IND

Both Teams to Score

40%
Yes 40.3%No 59.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

33%
Yes 32.5%No 67.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
14%
More Markets

Double Chance

1X
46.8%
12
13.2%
X2
39.9%

Half-Time Result

SLO
27.6%
Draw
49.2%
IND
23.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.6%
No
97.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ Β· Past performance does not guarantee future results Β· BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Match Centre

Lineups, live stats, full odds comparison, and in-depth match data for Independiente vs San Lorenzo.

View Match Centre

SSR Ratings & Movement

Metric
San Lorenzo crestSLO
Independiente crestIND
Overall1490-17.51504+17.5
Attack1511+0.21504+9.8
Defence1478-11.31513+1.4
Goals Index1510+11.31469+8.7
BTTS Index1534+10.81508+9.2

πŸ“ Post-Match Analysis

Independiente Stun San Lorenzo 2-1 in Buenos Aires Derby to Pile On the Pressure

Independiente grabbed a brilliant away win at San Lorenzo, running out 2-1 winners in a Liga Profesional clash that leaves the home side with serious questions to answer. The model fancied San Lorenzo...

Jay Thompson8 May
Read full analysis→

Form Guide (Last 5)

San Lorenzo crestSLO
INDIndependiente crest
DLWDD
LWLWD
1-3-1Record (W-D-L)2-1-2
4Goals Scored7
β€”xG6.0
60%Clean Sheet %0%
40%BTTS %80%

Head-to-Head

1 meetings
Matches
Venue
INDDrawsSLO
1W (100%)0D (0%)0W (0%)
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
MarketCountRateStreak
BTTS (Yes)1/1100%1
Over 2.51/1100%1
Over 1.51/1100%-
Under 2.50/10%-
IND Clean Sheet0/10%-
SLO Clean Sheet0/10%-

Match History

2 May 26
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo crest
1-2
Independiente crestIndependiente
W

Match facts at a glance

Kickoff
Last meeting
San Lorenzo 1-2 Independiente (2 May 2026)
BTTS this season Β· San Lorenzo
40%
BTTS this season Β· Independiente
80%
Our prediction
San Lorenzo to win (41%)

Frequently Asked Questions

Curious how this prediction was produced? See our methodology.

18+ | Gambling involves risk. Only gamble with money you can afford to lose. For information and advice about problem gambling, visit GambleAware.

All predictions and analysis on this page are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds displayed are sourced from third-party bookmakers and are subject to change. SportSignals may receive commission from bookmaker links on this page.

Last updated 23 days ago Β·