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Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction, Odds & Tips

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction and Tips

Argentine Liga Profesional
Full TimeMonday, 4 May 2026
Our take

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza defeated Defensa y Justicia 2-1 in Argentine Liga Profesional play. Our model favored a Gimnasia win at 41 percent probability, and the pick landed. Defensa y Justicia arrived in poor form, having won just once in their last five matches, though both sides showed attacking intent with both teams scoring in three of Defensa's last four outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Our AI analyses form, head-to-head records, squad news and odds to provide data-driven predictions for Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza. All tips are for informational purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You must be 18 or over to gamble. Please gamble responsibly. For help, visit GambleAware.

Our pick

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza to win

41%Won

Result

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza2:1Defensa y Justicia

GYEM v DEF

Our model called Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza to win at 41%. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2-1 Defensa y Justicia. Pick landed.

AI Prediction Result

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza to winWon βœ“
Probability
40.9%
Home
40.9%
Draw
28.0%
Away
31.1%

18+ Β· Past performance does not guarantee future results Β· BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Expected goals (xG)

Match xG total 1.59

GYEM0.71
DEF0.88
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

GYEM

W L W D W3WΒ·1DΒ·1LBTTS 80%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza claimed a 2-1 victory, securing three points despite inconsistent recent form; they had won just one of their previous five matches. The home side's defensive vulnerabilities persisted, having conceded 7 goals in their last five outings, though they managed to convert their chances effectively on the day. This result marked a reversal from their 1-5 loss to Independiente Rivadavia, suggesting improved clinical finishing.

Defensa y Justicia

DEF

L L L L L0WΒ·0DΒ·5LBTTS 60%

Defensa y Justicia suffered their fourth loss in five matches, extending a difficult run that included a 0-4 defeat to Boca Juniors. The visitors generated 1.00 xG but failed to capitalize; their 0% clean sheet rate across five games underscored persistent defensive frailty. They conceded twice despite their 75% both-teams-to-score ratio, indicating they could not sustain attacking pressure when needed.

Run-in & context

The result left Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza in 11th position while Defensa y Justicia remained in 10th, separated by points but both struggling in the middle tier of the Argentine Liga Profesional table. Defensa y Justicia's four-loss sequence intensified their relegation concerns; Gimnasia's victory offered temporary respite but their inconsistency, reflected in their LDLD form string, suggests instability ahead.

Injury impact

  • GYEM have a near-full squad available.

  • DEF are missing 2 players ruled out, including Samuel Lucero, Abiel Osorio.

Venue

Venue to be confirmed.

Weather

Weather data unavailable for this venue.

Set pieces

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaUnavailable
  • Defensa y JusticiaUnavailable

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
28%
31%
40.9%GYEM
28.0%Draw
31.1%DEF

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 50.0%No 50.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

45%
Yes 44.6%No 55.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
25%
More Markets

Double Chance

1X
51.0%
12
9.3%
X2
39.6%

Half-Time Result

GYEM
27.6%
Draw
51.4%
DEF
21.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.1%
No
94.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ Β· Past performance does not guarantee future results Β· BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Match Centre

Lineups, live stats, full odds comparison, and in-depth match data for Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.

View Match Centre

SSR Ratings & Movement

Metric
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza crestGYEM
Defensa y Justicia crestDEF
Overall1453+14.61514-14.6
Attack1503+10.41498-0.5
Defence1457-0.91496-9.1
Goals Index1585+12.81490+7.2
BTTS Index1519+10.21512+9.8

πŸ“ Post-Match Analysis

Gimnasia 2-1 Defensa y Justicia: Home Side Hold Their Nerve in Mendoza

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza earned a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Defensa y Justicia in the Argentine Liga Profesional, picking up three points that matter in a congested mid-table battle. It was the b...

Connor Maguire7 May
Read full analysis→

Form Guide (Last 5)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza crestGYEM
DEFDefensa y Justicia crest
WLWDW
LLLLL
3-1-1Record (W-D-L)0-0-5
8Goals Scored3
β€”xG1.0
20%Clean Sheet %0%
80%BTTS %60%

Head-to-Head

1 meetings
Matches
Venue
DEFDrawsGYEM
0W (0%)0D (0%)1W (100%)
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
MarketCountRateStreak
BTTS (Yes)1/1100%1
Over 2.51/1100%1
Over 1.51/1100%-
Under 2.50/10%-
DEF Clean Sheet0/10%-
GYEM Clean Sheet0/10%-

Match History

4 May 26
Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza crest
2-1
Defensa y Justicia crestDefensa y Justicia
L

Match facts at a glance

Kickoff
Last meeting
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2-1 Defensa y Justicia (4 May 2026)
BTTS this season Β· Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
80%
BTTS this season Β· Defensa y Justicia
60%
Our prediction
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza to win (41%)
Our value pick
Defensa y Justicia Win (+3.3% edge vs market)

Frequently Asked Questions

Curious how this prediction was produced? See our methodology.

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All predictions and analysis on this page are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds displayed are sourced from third-party bookmakers and are subject to change. SportSignals may receive commission from bookmaker links on this page.

Last updated 9 days ago Β·