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Südtirol vs Bari 1908 Prediction, Odds & Tips

Südtirol vs Bari 1908 Prediction and Tips

Serie B
Full TimeFriday, 22 May 2026
Our take

Südtirol and Bari 1908 played to a goalless draw in Serie B, a result that saw our model's pick for a Südtirol win at 45% probability miss the mark. The stalemate extended Südtirol's recent struggles; they had won none of their last five matches, posting two draws and three losses. Bari 1908 arrived in similarly poor form with one win, one draw and three losses across their last five outings. The teams' head-to-head record offered little clarity, showing one previous meeting that ended level. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Bari 1908 vs Südtirol Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Our AI analyses form, head-to-head records, squad news and odds to provide data-driven predictions for Bari 1908 vs Südtirol. All tips are for informational purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You must be 18 or over to gamble. Please gamble responsibly. For help, visit GambleAware.

Our pick

Südtirol to win

45%Lost

Result

Südtirol0:0Bari 1908

SUD v BAR

Our model leaned Südtirol to win at 45%. Südtirol 0-0 Bari 1908. Pick missed.

AI Prediction Result

Südtirol to winLost ✗
Probability
45.1%
Home
45.1%
Draw
29.2%
Away
25.6%

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Editor’s preview

Playoff Pressure: Südtirol Host Bari in a Serie B Finale That Could Define Both Clubs' Seasons

Connor Maguire · 17 May 2026

Friday night. Serie B. A match between two sides who have spent the entire season competing at the very top of the table. This is what the game is about. Südtirol host Bari 1908 on 22 May 2026, and if you are not interested in this fixture, you are not interested in football.

Where They Stand

The thing is, these are not two mid-table clubs playing out a meaningless end-of-season stroll. Südtirol finished the regular season in first place. Eighty-two points. Twenty-four wins, ten draws, four defeats. Seventy-seven goals scored, thirty-one conceded. A goal difference of plus forty-six. That is a championship-level return by any measure.

Bari 1908 sit one point behind in second. Eighty-one points. Twenty-three wins, twelve draws, three defeats. Three defeats in thirty-eight games. Listen, you do not lose three games in a season by accident. You do that through organisation, desire, and the basics being executed week after week. Bari have conceded thirty-four goals all season. That is a back line that knows its job and does it.

One point separates these two sides. That tells you everything about how close this has been. And now they meet head to head. The timing could not be more significant.

The Case for Südtirol

Südtirol are top of this league for a reason. Eighty-two points is not a fluke. You do not accumulate that kind of total without standards being maintained across every single match, home and away, autumn and spring. They have scored seventy-seven goals. That is an attack with real threat. They have conceded only thirty-one. That is a defence with real accountability.

The thing is, being at home matters. Playing in front of your own supporters in a match of this magnitude gives you something. Not a guarantee. But something. Südtirol have earned the right to finish top. They will want to show that against the best direct competition they have faced all season.

Twenty-four wins in thirty-eight games. That is consistency. That is a squad that competes. You do not get to that number by picking and choosing which games to care about.

The Case for Bari

Bari will not travel to this fixture feeling inferior. Three defeats all season. Three. That is a mentality record. That is a group of players who refuse to be beaten. Twelve draws tells you they are also a side who do not panic when things are tight. They hold their shape. They stay in games. They make you earn everything.

Seventy-six goals scored. They can hurt you going forward as well. This is not a side that just digs in and hopes. They have the attitude to win games at the top end of the pitch and the discipline to protect their goal at the other end.

One point is nothing. Bari know that if they perform to their standards on Friday, they go to the postseason with a statement result behind them. That is motivation enough.

What This Match Is Really About

Listen, I know some people will say the league table is already set, the positions are confirmed, this is just a formality. Those people are wrong. End of.

This match is about momentum. It is about which set of players walks into the playoff rounds feeling sharp, feeling confident, feeling like they belong at the very top of this division. Momentum is real. Form heading into knockout football matters. Ask any player who has been through a postseason. They will tell you the same thing.

The thing is, there is also pride at stake. Südtirol won the regular season. Bari will not want to go into what comes next having been beaten by the side above them. These are professional footballers with standards. A defeat here stings. It is supposed to.

Key Factors

Südtirol's attacking output has been the strongest in the league. Seventy-seven goals in thirty-eight games is just over two per match on average. Bari's defence has been formidable, conceding only thirty-four across the season. Something has to give in that battle. Whether Südtirol can unlock a Bari defensive structure that has held firm for most of the campaign is the central question of this match.

At the other end, Bari's seventy-six goals tells you they will not sit and absorb pressure for ninety minutes. They will come at Südtirol. That means Südtirol's defence, solid all season with just thirty-one goals conceded, will be tested properly. This is a genuine contest between two well-matched sides.

Both squads have been fit and available throughout a long season, which suggests depth and squad management have been handled properly. Fatigue should not be an excuse for either side. There are no excuses available here. You are in first and second in Serie B. You compete. You execute the basics. You win the match.

The Verdict

I back Südtirol to win this on home turf. Their goal difference is superior. Their home support will be behind them. And top of the table all season long means their standards have not dropped when it mattered most.

But do not write Bari off for a single second. Three defeats in thirty-eight games is a record that demands respect. They have the desire and the defensive organisation to come here and take something.

This is a proper match between two proper clubs. Everything else in Serie B this weekend is background noise. Be in front of your television at six o'clock on Friday. You will not regret it.

Read full preview
Südtirol

SUD

D D D L L032LBTTS 20%

Südtirol extended their winless run to five matches, drawing 0-0 at home. The side has scored just 4 goals across their last five outings while conceding 11, reflecting their 16th-place standing. This goalless result continued a pattern; they have now drawn 0-0 twice against Bari in recent fixtures. Clean sheets remain rare, occurring in only 20% of matches, yet defensive solidity held here despite their league position suggesting deeper structural issues.

Bari 1908

BAR

D D W W L221LBTTS 20%

Bari 1908 claimed a point in a 0-0 draw, extending their own winless streak to four matches. The visitors have managed just 3 goals in their last five games while conceding 8, leaving them 17th in the table. Their model showed a 20% BTTS probability, and that low-scoring pattern held firm. The result offered little momentum for a side struggling to convert chances into wins.

Run-in & context

The stalemate left both teams mired in the lower reaches of Serie B, with Südtirol remaining 16th and Bari 17th, separated by goal difference alone. Neither side gained ground on the promotion or safety picture. Our model suggested this was a likely outcome given both teams' recent form and defensive vulnerabilities; the draw represented a continuation of their respective struggles rather than a turning point for either outfit.

Venue

Venue to be confirmed.

Weather

Weather data unavailable for this venue.

Set pieces

  • SüdtirolUnavailable
  • Bari 1908Unavailable

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
29%
26%
45.1%SUD
29.2%Draw
25.6%BAR

Both Teams to Score

45%
Yes 44.7%No 55.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

38%
Yes 38.4%No 61.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
18%
More Markets

Double Chance

1X
54.5%
12
10.8%
X2
34.7%

Half-Time Result

SUD
31.5%
Draw
48.2%
BAR
20.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.0%
No
96.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Match Centre

Lineups, live stats, full odds comparison, and in-depth match data for Bari 1908 vs Südtirol.

View Match Centre

SSR Ratings & Movement

Metric
Südtirol crestSUD
Bari 1908 crestBAR
Overall1451+0.61440-0.6
Attack1488-9.81481-10.2
Defence1323+5.81470+14.2
Goals Index1603-6.71490-13.3
BTTS Index1428-12.41507-7.6

📝 Post-Match Analysis

Südtirol 0-0 Bari 1908: Relegation Six-Pointer Ends Goalless as Both Sides Cancel Each Other Out

A tense, goalless draw at the Druso Stadium saw Südtirol and Bari 1908 share a point in a Serie B fixture that had survival implications written all over it, with neither side able to find the quality...

Elena Santos27 May
Read full analysis

Form Guide (Last 5)

Südtirol crestSUD
BARBari 1908 crest
DDDLL
DDWWL
0-3-2Record (W-D-L)2-2-1
1Goals Scored5
40%Clean Sheet %60%
20%BTTS %20%

Head-to-Head

2 meetings
Matches
Venue
BARDrawsSUD
0W (0%)2D (100%)0W (0%)
0
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
MarketCountRateStreak
BTTS (Yes)0/20%-
Over 2.50/20%-
Over 1.50/20%-
Under 2.52/2100%2
BAR Clean Sheet2/2100%2
SUD Clean Sheet2/2100%2

Match History

22 May 26
SüdtirolSüdtirol crest
0-0
Bari 1908 crestBari 1908
D
15 May 26
Bari 1908Bari 1908 crest
0-0
Südtirol crestSüdtirol
D

Match facts at a glance

Kickoff
Competition
Serie B
Last meeting
Südtirol 0-0 Bari 1908 (22 May 2026)
Head-to-head record
Südtirol 0W · 1D · 0L Bari 1908 (1 meetings)
BTTS this season · Südtirol
20%
BTTS this season · Bari 1908
20%
Our prediction
Südtirol to win (45%)
Our value pick
Bari 1908 Win (+3.4% edge vs market)

Frequently Asked Questions

Curious how this prediction was produced? See our methodology.

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All predictions and analysis on this page are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds displayed are sourced from third-party bookmakers and are subject to change. SportSignals may receive commission from bookmaker links on this page.

Last updated 21 minutes ago ·