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World Cup 2026Round of 16Today: 2 matchesNext: Mexico v England · 01:00Full schedule →

World Cup Value Bets

Search, filter, and sort opportunities by value signal, model probability, implied probability, best odds, and freshness. Inspect first, track the price, then check the bookmaker.

Live edges
5
Top edge
18.0 pp
Avg confidence
93%
Books tracked
21
Defaulting to World Cup 2026 while it is the active football focus. Use All leagues to clear this filter.
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Min edge
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Showing 5 of 5 value betsSource: plus_value_bets
Top Value Bets

Ranked by expected value

3 live signals
#1Elite EVTue 7 Jul, 16:002m ago
ArgentinavEgypt

Egypt

Match result

+11.8 pp96% confidence
Probability gap
+117.5% EV
Model21.8%
Implied10.0%

Model is 11.8 pp above the market.

Best price
Betfair10.00
Fair 4.60
EV
+117.5%
Edge
+11.8
World Cup 202621 booksNo material moveMatch Centre
#2Elite EVTue 7 Jul, 00:002m ago
United StatesvBelgium

Belgium

Match result

+18.0 pp96% confidence
Probability gap
+47.7% EV
Model55.8%
Implied37.7%

Model is 18.1 pp above the market.

Best price
bwin2.65
Fair 1.79
EV
+47.7%
Edge
+18.0
World Cup 202621 booksNo material moveMatch Centre
#3Elite EVMon 6 Jul, 00:002m ago
MexicovEngland

England

Match result

+15.5 pp96% confidence
Probability gap
+39.6% EV
Model54.8%
Implied39.2%

Model is 15.6 pp above the market.

Best price
bwin2.55
Fair 1.83
EV
+39.6%
Edge
+15.5
World Cup 202621 booksNo material moveMatch Centre
#4Elite EVMon 6 Jul, 19:002m ago
PortugalvSpain

Portugal

Match result

+8.9 pp93% confidence
Probability gap
+36.5% EV
Model33.3%
Implied24.4%

Model is 8.9 pp above the market.

Best price
Betfair4.10
Fair 3.00
EV
+36.5%
Edge
+8.9
World Cup 202621 booksNo material moveMatch Centre
#5Elite EVTue 7 Jul, 20:002m ago
SwitzerlandvColombia

Switzerland

Match result

+6.4 pp85% confidence
Probability gap
+23.1% EV
Model34.2%
Implied27.8%

Model is 6.4 pp above the market.

Best price
Unibet3.60
Fair 2.92
EV
+23.1%
Edge
+6.4
World Cup 202621 booksNo material moveMatch Centre
Saved views5 rows · top edge 18.0 pp
Current scan
world-cup-2026 · all markets · 0+ pp · 168h
18.0 pp
CalculatorsEV · Kelly · no-vig · parlay
Edge
+7.4 pp
EV / stake
+15.5%
Profit EV
+0.16u
Kelly stake
3.52u
No-vig two-way
A 50.0% · B 50.0% · margin 4.7%
Two-leg parlay
3.78 odds · 31.9% model · +5.4 pp
18+Information, not advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.GambleAware