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The model pick is the outcome the model rates most likely based on form, xG, injuries and head to head. The value pick is where the bookmakers' odds look too generous against that probability, so a bet there should return more over the long run.
When the two agree it's a strong signal. When they disagree, the model expects one team to win more often than the odds suggest, so backing the underdog at a long price can still be the better bet even if you don't expect them to win this single match.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. begambleaware.org
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Informational only. 18+. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org
| Bookie | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.41★ | 3.60★ | 3.09★ | |
| 2.34 | 3.48 | 2.98 | |
| 2.33 | 3.46 | 2.98 | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 | |
| 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.90 | |
| 2.29 | 3.40 | 2.86 |
+1 more bookmakers on the full odds page.
Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Derrick Köhn has transformed from struggling Bundesliga loanee to Union Berlin's defensive cornerstone under Bo Svensson. The 25-year-old's resurgence positions him as both key to Union's relegation battle and Ghana's leading left-back option for World Cup qualifying.
19 Apr 2026
Union Berlin manager Steffen Baumgart has publicly accepted responsibility after a damaging 1-3 home defeat to Heidenheim left his side dangerously close to the relegation zone. The loss highlights Union's dramatic fall from European qualification just two seasons ago to their current battle for Bundesliga survival.
16 Apr 2026
Union Berlin made Marie-Louise Eta the Bundesliga's first female head coach, but the historic appointment was immediately overshadowed by thousands of sexist comments flooding the club's social media. While Vincent Kompany praised the "key moment" for football, the toxic reaction reveals how far the sport remains from its proclaimed values of inclusion.
15 Apr 2026
Union Berlin's 16-year-old midfielder Linus Güther could become the second-youngest Bundesliga player in history if he debuts on Saturday. The teenager's potential appearance signals a seismic shift in German football's youth development strategy, with clubs increasingly willing to fast-track exceptional talents straight into senior football.
14 Apr 2026
Marie-Louise Eta has become the first woman to manage a men's team in Europe's top five leagues, taking charge of Union Berlin amid a relegation battle. The historic appointment has triggered immediate sexist abuse that the club's director condemned as 'insane' and 'embarrassing', exposing football's ongoing discrimination problem.
14 Apr 2026
Union Berlin have sacked Steffen Baumgart just 11 months after extending his contract, with sporting director Horst Heldt claiming it was 'the right time' for change. The decision exposes how quickly Bundesliga clubs abandon long-term planning when relegation fears emerge, betraying the patient approach that once defined Union's identity.
13 Apr 2026
Union Berlin have appointed 34-year-old Marie-Louise Eta as interim manager, making her one of the few women to lead a men's team in Europe's top leagues. The historic appointment has been met with sexist abuse on social media, which the club condemned as 'simply embarrassing', highlighting football's ongoing struggle with gender discrimination.
13 Apr 2026
Union Berlin could make Bundesliga history by appointing Marie-Louise Eta as their permanent manager. Sporting director Horst Heldt confirmed the interim boss is under consideration following Steffen Baumgart's sacking, a move that would make her the first woman to manage in Germany's top flight.
13 Apr 2026
Dominique Heintz hasn't made FC Cologne's matchday squad in weeks, with the 32-year-old defender set to leave on a free transfer when his contract expires in summer 2025. The Swiss international's exile reflects manager Gerhard Struber's ruthless squad overhaul, prioritising younger players over experienced veterans.
13 Apr 2026
VfB Stuttgart have completed the signing of experienced midfielder Grischa Prömel after weeks of negotiations. The former Union Berlin star brings proven Bundesliga quality and a crucial goal threat from midfield, addressing Stuttgart's most pressing tactical needs as they look to climb the table.
12 Apr 2026
Said El Mala stunned 1. FC Köln by announcing he has 'five matches left' at the club immediately after scoring a crucial penalty against Werder Bremen. The midfielder's calculated timing transforms his remaining appearances into a countdown that could destabilise Köln's season while creating significant betting market volatility.
12 Apr 2026
Five Bundesliga clubs face potential instability with managers on contracts expiring in 2026, including Bayern Munich's Vincent Kompany and Borussia Dortmund's Nuri Şahin. Combined with seven new appointments across the league, the managerial landscape suggests significant early-season volatility for betting markets.
11 Apr 2026
Union Berlin have appointed Marie-Louise Eta as interim manager after sacking Steffen Baumgart, potentially making her the first woman to manage in the Bundesliga. The 33-year-old's historic appointment comes as Union struggle with an identity crisis following their rapid rise from the second tier to Champions League football.
11 Apr 2026
Heidenheim ended their devastating 15-match winless streak with victory over Union Berlin, but manager Frank Schmidt warns against premature celebration. The veteran coach, who has transformed the club from amateur football to Bundesliga, now believes survival is possible while emphasising the psychological challenge of managing newfound hope in their relegation battle.
11 Apr 2026
Union Berlin's Linus Güther became the Bundesliga's second-youngest debutant at 17 years and 82 days, pushing Nuri Sahin out of the top 10 and highlighting German football's accelerating youth revolution. The milestone reflects how financial pressures and sporting ambition are driving Bundesliga clubs to gamble on teenagers earlier than ever, creating new dynamics for both competition and betting markets.
11 Apr 2026
Early transfer activity in Germany's 2. Bundesliga reveals which clubs have genuine promotion ambitions for 2026/27. Hamburg lead the spending with three signings while newly-promoted sides stay worryingly quiet, offering valuable betting angles for the notoriously unpredictable second tier.
10 Apr 2026
Union Berlin faces a staggering €340,000 fine from the DFB for pyrotechnic displays against Eintracht Frankfurt, marking one of the largest penalties in Bundesliga history. The unprecedented sanction signals German football authorities are ready to financially punish clubs into abandoning ultra culture, with serious implications for the league's famous atmosphere and Union's on-field performance.
9 Apr 2026
Manchester City and Bayern Munich are set to trigger a €10-12m release clause for 16-year-old Hertha Berlin midfielder Kennet Eichhorn this summer. The teenager, dubbed 'the next Toni Kroos', represents one of modern football's most extraordinary bargains in a market where average Premier League players cost triple that fee.
9 Apr 2026