Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale, Top +EV Bets

Carabao Cup · Sat, 01 Aug 2026, 15:00 KO

Tranmere Rovers

DLWLDLast 5

Kicks off in

3d 2h

Rochdale

Top +EV Bets

Ranked value rows from v_plus_value_bet_summaries

Player props live1 player prop value row for this match.

#1Elite EVPlayer propOnly bet365 currently prices this lineSat 1 Aug, 14:001h ago

Tranmere Rovers

Sam Finley

Anytime goalscorer

+12.2 pp87% confidence

Probability gap

The model sees this price as a big outlier

Model18.1%

Implied5.9%

Model is 12.2 pp above the market.

Available price

16/1

Fair 113/25

The model sees this price as a big outlier

Edge

+12.2

Last 5

20%

Last 10

20%

Last 20

20%

MissHitMissMissMiss

Carabao CupNo material moveMatch Centre

Open top value bet in Plus Compare odds

Trends

Top trends for Tranmere Rovers v Rochdale

Market, selection, recent hit windows, result strip, best odds, and the next place to inspect context.

Open Trends

Carabao CupSat 1 Aug, 14:00Evidence loaded

Tranmere RoversvRochdale

Sam Finley

Anytime goalscorer

Sam Finley has hit 20% across last 5 (5 samples).

Last 5

20%

Last 10

20%

Last 20

20%

Miss (A)11 AprHit (A)11 AprMiss (H)06 AprMiss (A)03 AprMiss (H)21 Mar

Best odds

16/1

+12.2 pp edge

Open in Plus Trends Open Match Centre

Match preview & picks

🎯

Model pick: Over 2.5 goals

57% confidence · Model rates Over 2.5 at 57%; market implies 52%.

1.91

Not available

💎

Value pick: Rochdale win

+9.4% edge vs market · best at williamhill

2.30

Check price

📊

xG lean: Rochdale to win

Model 52.9% · market 42.6%

2.35

Not available

👤

Joe Ironside anytime scorer

forward · shortest on the book

7.50

Check price

All odds

Best price · UKGC books

All Odds

Full table →

Bookie	Home	Draw	Away
bwin	2/1★	12/5	13/10
Coral	2/1★	12/5	13/10
Ladbrokes	2/1★	12/5	13/10
LeoVegas	19/10	12/5	27/20★
bet365	187/100	5/2★	5/4
Betfair	19/10	23/10	13/10
BoyleSports	19/10	23/10	13/10
William Hill	2/1★	11/5	13/10

+10 more bookmakers on the full odds page.

Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

AI Prediction

Best price 1.91

TRR win25.0%vs 33.3%

Draw22.1%vs 28.6%

RCH win52.9%vs 42.6%

Top signal

Over 2.5 goals

totals · model 57%

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Edge · SportSignals+

Every +EV price and trend for this match, ranked by edge.

Open the Edge tab

Full-time result accuracy

View all →

50.1%

full-time-result selections recorded before kickoff and settled

874 correct from 1746 resolved picks

Competition scope: all competitions with verified settled selections
Data through:: 28 Jul 2026
Period:: 15 Apr 2026 to 28 Jul 2026

50.1%

Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.