Riga vs Vardar, Top +EV Bets

UEFA Europa Conference League · Tue, 28 Jul 2026, 18:00 KO

Riga

WWLLast 5

Kicks off in

15h 33m

Vardar

LWLLast 5

Top +EV Bets

Ranked value rows from v_plus_value_bet_summaries

#1Elite EVTue 28 Jul, 17:003m ago

RigavVardar

Vardar

Match result

+8.4 pp89% confidence

Probability gap

The model sees this price as a big outlier

Model20.2%

Implied11.8%

Model is 8.4 pp above the market.

Best price

15/2

Fair 99/25

The model sees this price as a big outlier

Edge

+8.4

UEFA Europa Conference League8 booksNo material moveMatch Centre

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Trends

Top trends for Riga v Vardar

Market, selection, recent hit windows, result strip, best odds, and the next place to inspect context.

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Trend cards need current value rows plus hit-rate windows or result-history context. We keep this empty rather than inventing past performance.

Match preview & picks

🎯

Model pick: Both teams to score

51% confidence · Model rates BTTS Yes at 51%; market implies 52%.

1.91

Check price

💎

Value pick: Vardar win

+8.4% edge vs market · best at betvictor

8.50

Check price

📊

xG lean: Riga to win

Model 55.7% · market 73.5%

1.36

Check price

🔁

H2H trend

Riga 1W · Vardar 0W in last 1 · BTTS in 1 of 1

1-0-0

🧠

AI take

Riga hosts Vardar in the UEFA Europa Conference League on July 28 at 17:00 UTC. Our model backs a Riga win at 56% probability, available at …

AI Prediction

Best price 1.91

Riga win55.7%

Draw24.2%

Vardar win20.2%

Top signal

Both teams to score

btts · model 51%

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

All odds

Best price · UKGC books

All Odds

Full table →

Bookie	Home	Draw	Away
BetVictor	3/10	17/4★	15/2★
Coral	7/20	17/4★	7/1
Ladbrokes	7/20	17/4★	7/1
Unibet	3/10	17/4★	7/1
Betfair	1/4	4/1	7/1
bwin	1/3	4/1	13/2
William Hill	7/20	19/5	13/2
bet365	9/25★	7/2	13/2

Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Full-time result accuracy

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49.9%

full-time-result selections recorded before kickoff and settled

868 correct from 1738 resolved picks

Competition scope: all competitions with verified settled selections
Data through:: 27 Jul 2026
Period:: 15 Apr 2026 to 27 Jul 2026

49.9%

Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.