Serie A · ItalyWhat does this mean?
The model pick is the outcome the model rates most likely based on form, xG, injuries and head to head. The value pick is where the bookmakers' odds look too generous against that probability, so a bet there should return more over the long run.
When the two agree it's a strong signal. When they disagree, the model expects one team to win more often than the odds suggest, so backing the underdog at a long price can still be the better bet even if you don't expect them to win this single match.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. begambleaware.org
Napoli to winPisa vs Napoli correct score odds
Best bookmaker prices across every scoreline. Cells shaded by implied probability — darker cells are more likely. The five most-likely scorelines are highlighted in pink. Maximum 6+ goals per side; long shots above that map into the 6+ row/column.
Correct score
39 of 49 cells priced| Pisa \ Napoli | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.00 7.7% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.50 15.4% | 9.50 10.5% | 17.00 5.9% | 36.00 2.8% | 81.00 1.2% |
| 1 | 18.00 5.6% | 8.50 11.8% | 8.00 12.5% | 12.00 8.3% | 21.00 4.8% | 46.00 2.2% | 151.00 0.7% |
| 2 | 41.00 2.4% | 21.00 4.8% | 19.00 5.3% | 26.00 3.8% | 46.00 2.2% | 101.00 1% | 151.00 0.7% |
| 3 | 151.00 0.7% | 81.00 1.2% | 67.00 1.5% | 81.00 1.2% | 151.00 0.7% | 151.00 0.7% | — |
| 4 | 151.00 0.7% | 151.00 0.7% | 151.00 0.7% | 151.00 0.7% | 151.00 0.7% | — | — |
| 5 | 151.00 0.7% | 151.00 0.7% | 151.00 0.7% | 151.00 0.7% | — | — | — |
| 6+ | 151.00 0.7% | 151.00 0.7% | 151.00 0.7% | — | — | — | — |
18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · begambleaware.org