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Connor Maguire · 14 August 2026
Last updated 15 August 2026. We are seven days out from this FA Cup tie and there is enough on paper to form a clear view. North Ferriby at home, Campion making the trip. Two sides with limited sample sizes this season, but what we have tells us something. Let me break it down.
The thing is, North Ferriby look like a different team depending on where they are playing. Away from home they have been solid. Two wins from two on the road, three goals scored, one conceded. That is a clean sheet rate of fifty percent away from home. Decent. You can work with that.
At home it is a different story entirely. One game played at their own ground this season and they could not keep a clean sheet. Drew two-all. Both teams scored. That is not a good sign for a side that will need to impose themselves on their own patch if they want to progress in this competition. The basics of home advantage mean nothing if you cannot defend your own goal. End of.
Their overall record reads two wins and a draw from three games. Unbeaten, yes. But conceding in every match is not a platform to build confidence on. The goals against column is three from three games. That needs addressing before Saturday.
Listen, Campion are not a side you can dismiss here. They arrive unbeaten. One win and one draw from their two matches. The win was emphatic: three goals scored, none conceded. A hundred percent clean sheet rate at home. That tells you something about their defensive organisation and their desire to compete as a unit.
Away from home they drew one-all. Kept it tight, shared the spoils. Their momentum slope in the data sits at two, which is the highest figure between these two sides. North Ferriby's momentum slope is flat at zero across the board. That gap might be small in number but it reflects something real. Campion are building. North Ferriby are just existing.
Their overall numbers read four goals scored and one conceded from two games. That is a goals-against record that would make any pundit sit up. They are not leaking. North Ferriby at home have been leaking. You can see where this is heading.
The thing is, the FA Cup at this level is about basics. Who wants it more. Who competes for longer. Who does not switch off when it matters. The data we have does not give us formations or individual player information, and I am not going to pretend it does. What it gives us is patterns. And the pattern here points toward a tight game with goals at both ends being a real possibility.
North Ferriby's home record shows a hundred percent both-teams-to-score rate. One game, granted, but it happened. Campion away from home also saw both teams score. You put those two trends together and you are looking at a match where neither side is likely to shut things out completely.
North Ferriby over their last ten games overall have seen both teams score in sixty-seven percent of matches and over two goals in sixty-seven percent too. These are not low-scoring, cagey affairs. Goals happen when North Ferriby are involved. That suits Campion, who have shown they can put the ball in the net when the opportunity comes.
The data sheet carries no injury information for either side at this point. No confirmed absences, no players flagged as doubts. We work with what we have. Both squads appear to be available in full as far as we can tell. That can change before Saturday, and if it does, this preview will reflect it. For now, assume full strength from both camps and judge them on what they have shown on the pitch.
There is no head-to-head record between these two sides in the data. They are not clubs who have met regularly. That means neither side carries baggage into this one. No grievances, no psychological edge from a recent result. It is a blank slate. In the FA Cup that can actually work in the underdog's favour. Campion will not walk in fearing what North Ferriby have done to them before. That matters for mentality.
I am not going to overcomplicate this. North Ferriby have not kept a clean sheet all season. Campion are the better-looking side on current form. Campion's defensive record is superior. Their momentum is pointing upward. North Ferriby's is flat.
The thing is, this is the FA Cup. Home advantage is real at non-league level. The crowd, the pitch, the familiarity. I am not writing North Ferriby off. But I am not backing them either, not at home with a defence that has not locked the door once this season.
My bet is both teams to score. It is the most honest read of the data in front of me. North Ferriby will create chances on their own ground. Campion have the quality to exploit a defence that is giving up goals. Both sides score. That is my call. One selection, backed with conviction.
No odds are available in the data at the time of writing. Shop around your usual books and take the best price on both teams to score. The value should be there given the profile of both sides right now.
Attitude and accountability win cups. We will see which side has more of both come Saturday afternoon.
Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.