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Jay Thompson · 15 August 2026
Right, settle in. Because this one is genuinely interesting. Thursday night European football at Easter Road. Hibernian hosting Gent in the UEFA Europa Conference League. If you told me at the start of the season that Hibs would be here, unbeaten at home, with two wins from two on their own turf, I'd have taken that all day long. But here we are, and now comes the proper test.
Look at the fixtures, or more specifically look at what Hibernian have done at Easter Road. Two games, two wins, six goals scored, two conceded. That is a seriously encouraging return. The BTTS rate at home sits at 100 percent, and every single game has gone over 2.5 goals. So if you like your football entertaining, Hibs at home right now is the place to be.
Honestly, the numbers paint a picture of a side that is genuinely dangerous going forward on home soil. Six goals in two home games is not a fluke. That is a team that fancies itself in front of its own fans. The crowd will be up for this. European nights at Easter Road have a proper atmosphere and that matters. Do not underestimate it.
The flip side? They have not kept a clean sheet at home in either of those games. So the back door is open. Every game has had goals at both ends. That trend could very well continue on Thursday.
Now here is where it gets a bit more complicated for Hibs. When you look at their away form in this competition, it reads draw and loss, with zero goals scored and two conceded from their last two away days. That is a pretty stark contrast to what they do at Easter Road.
The momentum slope is slightly positive overall at 0.3, so there is a general upward trend to their season, and the last five games in all competitions show two wins, one draw, one loss and six goals scored. They are not in bad shape. But that away form with zero goals in two games is a little flag worth noting when you are thinking about this as a two-legged tie situation, or just thinking about the character of the squad when things get tight.
Still. They are at home tonight. And at home, Hibs look like a proper handful.
Look, I am not going to sugarcoat this. Gent's numbers are rough. In their domestic league over the last ten games, they have managed one win, five draws and four losses. They have scored five and conceded thirteen. Thirteen goals against in ten games. That is nearly one and a half goals against per game, mate.
Their away form in the league? Five games, zero wins, two draws, three losses, two goals scored, ten conceded. Ten goals conceded away from home in five games. That is the kind of stat that makes you do a double take. No, seriously, go back and read that again.
Now I know what you are thinking. European football is different to domestic football. The levels can vary. A Belgian side coming to Scotland is not the same as a Belgian side going to play in their own league. And that is fair. Context matters. But Gent are arriving at Easter Road having genuinely struggled to keep things tight in recent weeks. The defensive fragility is real and it is well documented in the numbers.
They also come into this with injury concerns. Two players are confirmed out for Gent, one of them a long-term absentee who has been out since December 2025 and is not expected back until October. The other is a moderate injury picked up in late July with no confirmed return date. So they are not at full strength, and in a game where they arguably need their best squad available, that is not ideal.
Here is my read on this. Hibs will come at Gent from the first whistle. Easter Road will be rocking, they have got a settled home routine going, and they are averaging three goals a game at home. If Gent cannot sort out their defensive issues, this could get uncomfortable for them early.
Gent's best hope is probably to nick something on the break. Even in their poor recent run, they have managed to draw fairly regularly, so they clearly know how to stay in games and not completely capitulate. Their domestic home record over ten games shows three wins, five draws and two losses, which is a bit better than their away record, suggesting they are a team that is much more comfortable when they are not having to chase a game.
The problem is, coming to a pumped up Easter Road on a European night, they might well find themselves having to chase this game. And if the first goal goes in early for Hibs? Scenes.
I'm going big on this. Hibernian to win and both teams to score. Everything we know about Hibs at home this season points to goals. Everything we know about Gent defensively suggests they will concede, but they have enough about them not to be completely rolled over. The BTTS angle feels like it has proper legs here. Don't @ me if Gent somehow keep it clean. I will not be held responsible.
A little flutter on over 2.5 goals would not go amiss either. Both home games for Hibs have gone over that line. Gent have conceded freely. You heard it here first.
This is a brilliant occasion for Scottish football. Hibs on the European stage, unbeaten at home, with a proper winnable game in front of them against opponents who are struggling for form and carrying injury concerns. If there was ever a night to make Easter Road count, this is it. Get yourself watching this one. Thursday night. Conference League. Could be absolute limbs.
Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.