Bristol City vs Stoke City
EFL ChampionshipFull time · 2 May 2026
Bristol City
WWLWWLast 5
Full time
2 — 0
90+4'
⚽ Delano Burgzorg 1' · ⚽ Sam Bell 88'
Stoke City
LostLLLLDLast 5
PRESSURE INDEX · FINAL▲ Bristol City · last goal · 88'
30
70
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Bristol City defeated Stoke City 2-0 at Ashton Gate Stadium in the EFL Championship. Our model favored a Bristol City win at 50% probability, and the pick landed. The result ended a stretch where Bristol City had managed just two draws and a loss across their previous five matches, while Stoke arrived winless in their last two outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Bristol City sit 13th with 6 points for and 8 against over five games; Stoke occupy 17th having conceded 4 in their last three without reply. The gap between the sides is 4 league positions. Our model identifies a stark contrast in attacking output; Stoke's goalless run against Wrexham and Derby signals systemic offensive issues. Bristol's home record and superior recent scoring (despite defensive lapses) suggests they hold clear advantage. Season context favors the hosts.
Bristol City show mixed form with one win, two draws and two losses across their last five. They've scored 6 goals but conceded 8 in this stretch, suggesting defensive vulnerability. The 4-3 victory over Wycombe and 2-0 win at Doncaster offer encouragement, though consecutive draws at Southampton and Steenage preceded a 1-2 defeat at Birmingham. Our model rates their attacking intent at 60% BTTS probability, though clean sheets occur in just 40% of matches. Position 13 reflects inconsistency.
Stoke City are in severe form crisis; they've failed to win in their last five matches, losing three of the most recent four. They've scored just once across their last three games while conceding 4 goals in that same period. Our AI engine flags zero BTTS instances and zero clean sheets in recent data. The 1-3 defeats to Portsmouth and Millwall, plus 0-2 loss at Wrexham, underscore offensive struggles. Position 17 reflects their deterioration.