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The model pick is the outcome the model rates most likely based on form, xG, injuries and head to head. The value pick is where the bookmakers' odds look too generous against that probability, so a bet there should return more over the long run.
When the two agree it's a strong signal. When they disagree, the model expects one team to win more often than the odds suggest, so backing the underdog at a long price can still be the better bet even if you don't expect them to win this single match.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. begambleaware.org
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Informational only. 18+. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org
| Bookie | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.14β | 3.35 | 2.50β | |
| 3.10 | 3.26 | 2.48 | |
| 3.08 | 3.28 | 2.45 | |
| 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.48 | |
| 2.90 | 3.40β | 2.40 | |
| 2.87 | 3.30 | 2.50β | |
| 3.03 | 3.22 | 2.41 | |
| 2.85 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
+9 more bookmakers on the full odds page.
Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Gian Piero Gasperini's tearful press conference exit and Claudio Ranieri's public undermining have exposed Roma's toxic power struggle. The Giallorossi have won just two of eight matches since February, tumbling from third to sixth as internal warfare derails their Champions League hopes.
20 Apr 2026
Manchester United and Chelsea will scout Bologna striker Santiago Castro during Thursday's Europa League clash with Aston Villa. The 21-year-old's 15 goal contributions this season have positioned him as Serie A's next major export, with both Premier League giants desperate for attacking reinforcements.
15 Apr 2026
Chris Wood has revealed he will manage his knee injury for the rest of his life following a six-month layoff that required surgery. The Nottingham Forest striker's candid admission comes as he targets Europa League glory and a World Cup place with New Zealand, raising questions about the true cost of playing through injuries in modern football.
15 Apr 2026
Ollie Watkins admits he's 'playing angry' as his worst Villa season threatens his World Cup dreams. With just 9 goals in 30 games and no England call-ups since Euro 2024, the striker's desperation to impress Thomas Tuchel is backfiring spectacularly.
11 Apr 2026
Manchester United are preparing to sell Joshua Zirkzee after just two seasons, with the Β£35m signing managing only 9 goals in 69 appearances. Multiple European clubs are circling for the Dutch striker, who has become the latest expensive forward to flop at Old Trafford.
10 Apr 2026
Ollie Watkins has scored three goals in five games since being dropped by England, forcing Thomas Tuchel to reconsider his striker options with the World Cup just two months away. The Aston Villa forward's timely hot streak exposes England's concerning lack of depth beyond an ageing Harry Kane.
9 Apr 2026
Joshua Zirkzee is actively seeking a summer exit from Manchester United after managing just three goals in 28 appearances. Seven clubs across Serie A and the Bundesliga are interested, but all want loan deals only, leaving United facing massive losses on their Β£36.5m investment.
7 Apr 2026