Atletico Madrid vs Málaga, Top +EV Bets

La Liga · Wed, 19 Aug 2026, 20:00 KO

Atletico Madrid

LWWLLLast 5

Kicks off in

2d 13h

Málaga

DWWDWLast 5

Top +EV Bets

Ranked value rows from v_plus_value_bet_summaries

Player props live1 player prop value row for this match.

#1WatchPlayer propOnly bet365 currently prices this lineWed 19 Aug, 20:0028m ago

Atletico Madrid

Nahuel Molina

Anytime goalscorer

+1.7 pp64% confidence

Probability gap

+9.6% EV

Model19.9%

Implied18.2%

Model is 1.7 pp above the market.

Available price

9/2

Fair 4/1

+9.6%

Edge

+1.7

Last 5

40%

Last 10

22%

Last 20

22%

MissMissHitHitMissMissMissMissMiss

La LigaNo material moveMatch Centre

Open top value bet in Plus Compare odds

Trends

Top trends for Atletico Madrid v Málaga

Market, selection, recent hit windows, result strip, best odds, and the next place to inspect context.

Open Trends

La LigaWed 19 Aug, 19:00Evidence loaded

Atletico MadridvMálaga

Nahuel Molina

Anytime goalscorer

Nahuel Molina has hit 40% across last 5 (5 samples).

Last 5

40%

Last 10

22%

Last 20

22%

Miss (A)11 AprMiss (H)04 AprHit (A)22 MarHit (H)14 MarMiss (H)07 MarMiss (A)28 FebMiss (H)21 FebMiss (A)15 FebMiss (H)08 Feb

Best odds

9/2

+1.7 pp edge

Open in Plus Trends Open Match Centre

Match preview & picks

20:00 KO · 61h 37m

🎯

Model pick: Both teams to score

52% confidence · Model rates BTTS Yes at 52%; market implies 43%. · verified best displayed at betfair

2.30

Check price

📊

xG lean: Atletico Madrid to win

Model 51.7% · market 76.9%

1.30

Check price

👤

Nahuel Molina anytime scorer

defender · shortest on the book

5.50

Check price

📰

All odds

Best price · UKGC books

Bookie	Home	Draw	Away
Unibet	2/7	9/2★	21/2★
Betfair Sportsbook	3/10★	9/2★	10/1
Betfair	3/10★	9/2★	10/1
bwin	3/10★	17/4	19/2
bet365	3/10★	9/2★	9/1
Paddy Power	1/4	9/2★	9/1
BetVictor	1/4	4/1	19/2
Coral	3/10★	17/4	9/1

+5 more bookmakers on the full odds page.

Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

AI Prediction

Verified best displayed price 2.30

Atletico Madrid win51.7%

Draw25.6%

MLA win22.7%

Top signal

Both teams to score

btts · model 52%

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Edge · SportSignals+

Every +EV price and trend for this match, ranked by edge.

Open the Edge tab

Full-time result accuracy

View all →

50.6%

full-time-result selections recorded before kickoff and settled

1247 correct from 2464 resolved picks

Competition scope: all competitions with verified settled selections
Data through:: 17 Aug 2026
Period:: 15 Apr 2026 to 18 Aug 2026

50.6%

Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Age Verification

✦ SportSignals+ tools

Top +EV Bets

Nahuel Molina

Top trends for Atletico Madrid v Málaga

Nahuel Molina

All odds

AI Prediction

Top +EV Bets

Nahuel Molina

Top trends for Atletico Madrid v Málaga

Nahuel Molina

All odds

AI Prediction

Full-time result accuracy

Atletico Madrid vs Málaga

Top +EV Bets

Nahuel Molina

Nahuel Molina

Top +EV Bets

Nahuel Molina

Nahuel Molina

📊 All odds

🧠 AI Prediction

Full-time result accuracy

All odds

AI Prediction