Results
Post-match reports and analysis from across Europe's top leagues.
Post-match reports and analysis from across Europe's top leagues.
SKB
SARSarpsborg 08 claimed a 2-1 victory at Brann in the Norwegian Eliteserien, a result that looks like an upset on the surface but makes considerably more sense when you look at the underlying numbers and context heading into the game.
ROS
BODA Rosenborg side sitting fifteenth in the Eliteserien table managed to deny the free-scoring Bodø/Glimt a victory, sharing the points in a four-goal encounter that will feel like two very different results to the two clubs involved.
MON
CATCatanzaro pulled off a surprise away win at Monza, taking all three points with a 1-0 victory that seriously complicates the playoff race heading into the final stretch of the Serie B season.
VÅL
KRIVålerenga edged a tense Eliteserien encounter at home, taking all three points with a single goal against a Kristiansund side that offered little going forward. The result lifts neither team from the congested lower reaches of the table.
Crystal Palace
Rayo VallecanoCrystal Palace secured a vital 1-0 victory over Rayo Vallecano in the UEFA Europa Conference League, leaning on their impressive home record to edge out a Spanish side that had genuine quality to offer going forward.
RIE
WACRied made the most of their formidable home record to see off a Wolfsberger AC side that arrived in fine recent form, securing a 2-1 victory that continues to tell the story of two very different teams depending on where they play.
SPC
OHLSporting Charleroi and OH Leuven shared the spoils in a 1-1 Belgian Pro League draw, a result that fits the pattern between these two sides perfectly and leaves both teams stuck in the bottom half with work still to do.
KVC
STLStandard Liège picked up a valuable three points at the Kuipje, winning 2-1 away at Westerlo in the Belgian Pro League to extend their outstanding away form and confirm the signal our model had identified before kick-off.
GNK
ANTGenk entered this Belgian Pro League fixture as clear statistical favourites with a model probability above 55%, yet Antwerp held firm for a goalless draw that continues a puzzling trend of low-scoring home performances at the Cegeka Arena.
Chelsea
Tottenham HotspurChelsea edged a compelling London derby at Stamford Bridge, winning 2-1 against a Tottenham side that made things uncomfortable but ultimately could not sustain the quality required. A tenth-place finish for Chelsea, and seventeenth for Spurs, tells its own quiet story about where both clubs find themselves.
GAI
HAMGAIS pulled off a genuine result on home turf, beating second-placed Hammarby 2-0 in the Swedish Allsvenskan and proving their home form is no fluke. Hammarby's away record remains a serious concern for a side with genuine title ambitions.
LILKRIKristiansund produced a result that few saw coming, winning 2-1 away at Lillestrøm in the Norwegian Eliteserien to hand the fourth-placed hosts a damaging defeat. The result lands with real weight given Lillestrøm's negative momentum heading into the match.
AALSKBAalesund produced a 2-1 victory over Brann at home in the Norwegian Eliteserien, a result that carried genuine analytical weight given the pre-match data and the edge the model identified in the home win market.
