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River Plate vs Belgrano Prediction, Odds & Tips

River Plate vs Belgrano Prediction and Tips

Argentine Liga Profesional
Full TimeSunday, 24 May 2026
Our take

River Plate fell to Belgrano 3-2 in Argentine Liga Profesional play. Our model backed River Plate at 54 percent probability; the pick missed. River Plate had won three straight before the match, while Belgrano arrived with three wins in five outings. Both sides found the net, extending the pattern of goals in a fixture where defensive frailty proved costly. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Belgrano vs River Plate Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Our AI analyses form, head-to-head records, squad news and odds to provide data-driven predictions for Belgrano vs River Plate. All tips are for informational purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You must be 18 or over to gamble. Please gamble responsibly. For help, visit GambleAware.

Our pick

River Plate to win

54%Lost

Result

River Plate2:3Belgrano

RIV v BEL

Our model leaned River Plate to win at 54%. River Plate 2-3 Belgrano. Pick missed.

AI Prediction Result

River Plate to winLost βœ—
Probability
53.8%
Home
53.8%
Draw
27.1%
Away
19.1%

18+ Β· Past performance does not guarantee future results Β· BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Expected goals (xG)

Match xG total 2.77

RIV1.30
BEL1.47
River Plate

RIV

L W W D L2WΒ·1DΒ·2LBTTS 40%

River Plate conceded three goals at home despite entering on a three-match winning streak. The side scored twice but failed to convert dominance into points, extending their recent volatility; they had won 2-0 and 1-0 in their prior two matches yet lost 2-3 here. Their 67% clean sheet rate collapsed in this fixture, suggesting defensive lapses when facing Belgrano's attacking setup.

Belgrano

BEL

W D W W W4WΒ·1DΒ·0LBTTS 40%

Belgrano secured a 3-2 victory on the road, breaking their mixed recent form with a decisive away performance. The visitors scored three goals despite a 20% both-teams-to-score rate historically, indicating clinical finishing. This result marked their second win in five matches and demonstrated their capacity to win in hostile environments against higher-ranked opposition.

Run-in & context

The result reshuffled the upper table; River Plate dropped points from second position while Belgrano moved closer to the top four. Our model had favored River Plate's consistency, yet Belgrano's three-goal away haul signaled genuine quality. The loss halted River Plate's winning run and raised questions about their defensive stability heading into the season's final stretch.

Venue

Venue to be confirmed.

Weather

Weather data unavailable for this venue.

Set pieces

  • River Plate6.0 corners / g
  • Belgrano3.5 corners / g

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

54%
27%
19%
53.8%RIV
27.1%Draw
19.1%BEL

Both Teams to Score

41%
Yes 40.9%No 59.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

37%
Yes 37.1%No 62.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
64%
Over 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
17%
More Markets

Double Chance

1X
58.7%
12
11.1%
X2
30.3%

Half-Time Result

RIV
39.8%
Draw
46.5%
BEL
13.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.5%
No
94.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ Β· Past performance does not guarantee future results Β· BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Match Centre

Lineups, live stats, full odds comparison, and in-depth match data for Belgrano vs River Plate.

View Match Centre

SSR Ratings & Movement

Metric
River Plate crestRIV
Belgrano crestBEL
Overall1557-17.61556+17.6
Attack1494+8.21555+11.8
Defence1541-10.01540-10.0
Goals Index1452+9.71462+10.3
BTTS Index1449+9.61462+10.4

πŸ“ Post-Match Analysis

River Plate 2-3 Belgrano: Piratas Stun the Millionarios in Liga Profesional Upset

Belgrano produced a memorable away performance at the Estadio Monumental, defeating River Plate 3-2 in a five-goal thriller that sent shockwaves through the Argentine Liga Profesional title race.

Sophie Hargreaves27 May
Read full analysis→

Form Guide (Last 5)

River Plate crestRIV
BELBelgrano crest
LWWDL
WDWWW
2-1-2Record (W-D-L)4-1-0
7Goals Scored11
40%Clean Sheet %60%
40%BTTS %40%

Head-to-Head

2 meetings
Matches
Venue
BELDrawsRIV
1W (50%)0D (0%)1W (50%)
4
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
MarketCountRateStreak
BTTS (Yes)1/250%1
Over 2.52/2100%2
Over 1.52/2100%-
Under 2.50/20%-
BEL Clean Sheet0/20%-
RIV Clean Sheet1/250%-

Match History

24 May 26
River PlateRiver Plate crest
2-3
Belgrano crestBelgrano
W
5 Apr 26
River PlateRiver Plate crest
3-0
Belgrano crestBelgrano
L

Match facts at a glance

Kickoff
Last meeting
River Plate 2-3 Belgrano (24 May 2026)
Head-to-head record
River Plate 1W Β· 0D Β· 0L Belgrano (1 meetings)
BTTS this season Β· River Plate
40%
BTTS this season Β· Belgrano
40%
Our prediction
River Plate to win (54%)
Our value pick
River Plate Win (+8.3% edge vs market)

Frequently Asked Questions

Curious how this prediction was produced? See our methodology.

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All predictions and analysis on this page are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds displayed are sourced from third-party bookmakers and are subject to change. SportSignals may receive commission from bookmaker links on this page.

Last updated 16 minutes ago Β·