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Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdańsk Prediction, Odds & Tips

Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdańsk Prediction and Tips

Polish Ekstraklasa
Full TimeMonday, 4 May 2026
Our take

Radomiak Radom defeated Lechia Gdańsk 3-1 at home in the Polish Ekstraklasa. Our model favored a Radomiak win at 46% probability, and the pick landed. Radomiak's victory extended their recent volatility; they had won just once in five matches before this result. Lechia arrived winless in their last four, and the home side's three-goal performance proved decisive in a straightforward contest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Lechia Gdańsk vs Radomiak Radom Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Our AI analyses form, head-to-head records, squad news and odds to provide data-driven predictions for Lechia Gdańsk vs Radomiak Radom. All tips are for informational purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You must be 18 or over to gamble. Please gamble responsibly. For help, visit GambleAware.

Our pick

Radomiak Radom to win

46%Won

Result

Radomiak Radom3:1Lechia Gdańsk

RAD v LGD

Our model called Radomiak Radom to win at 46%. Radomiak Radom 3-1 Lechia Gdańsk. Pick landed.

AI Prediction Result

Radomiak Radom to winWon ✓
Probability
45.6%
Home
45.6%
Draw
24.0%
Away
30.4%

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Editor’s preview

Survival Instinct Meets Ambition: Radomiak Radom Host Lechia Gdańsk in a Fixture That Demands a Response

Connor Maguire · 18 April 2026

Let me tell you what this game is about. Radomiak Radom are 15th in the Polish Ekstraklasa. Lechia Gdańsk are 9th. One side is fighting to stay in this league. The other side is pushing to climb it. The basics of this fixture could not be clearer.

The Situation at Radomiak Radom

Radomiak have conceded 42 goals and scored 43 in this league campaign. Those numbers tell you everything. They can contribute going forward. The problem is they are giving the ball back just as quickly out of defence.

The thing is, a team sitting 15th is not there by accident. You get to 15th because of repeated failures in the basics. Defensive organisation. Accountability at set pieces. Compete for every second ball. Someone in that dressing room needs to look around and ask hard questions. On Monday night, those questions become very public.

Listen, I am not here to write them off. Home advantage is real. Crowd pressure is real. But desire has to match the occasion. If Radomiak come out on Monday and show the same defensive fragility that those 42 goals against suggest, this will be a long night in front of their own supporters.

What Lechia Gdańsk Bring to the Table

Lechia are ninth and they have goals in them. Fifty-five scored across this campaign is a healthy return. It tells you they have players who can hurt you. It tells you their attacking intent is genuine.

The thing is, 51 goals conceded is not exactly a defensive masterclass either. Lechia are an open team. They come to win matches, not to shut them down. That makes them entertaining. It also makes them vulnerable to a Radomiak side that has shown it can score.

The gap between these two sides in the table is six places. That is meaningful but it is not a chasm. This is not a game where Lechia can turn up expecting it to be handed to them. They will need to compete for ninety minutes. Their standards on the night will determine the result as much as anything else.

Where the Match Will Be Won and Lost

Radomiak's home record and away record are not broken down in what we have available, so I will not pretend otherwise. What I can tell you is what the overall numbers suggest. Both teams score. Both teams concede. This is not a match built for a goalless draw.

The midfield battle will be decisive. It always is at this level. Whichever side wins the physical contest in the centre of the pitch, controls the tempo. You win the tempo, you win the match more often than not. End of.

Radomiak need to make Lechia uncomfortable early. If they sit back and absorb pressure, those 51 goals Lechia have scored suggest the visitors will eventually find a way through. Radomiak's best chance is to press high, make it scrappy, and make Lechia earn every single thing they get. That is not a complex tactical instruction. That is basic desire and attitude.

The Pressure Is Real and It Is One-Sided

Sophie would probably point out the structural issues on both sides and she would not be wrong. But I do not need to overcomplicate this. Radomiak are in a relegation fight. The pressure on their players on Monday night is enormous. Home supporters demanding a performance. Teammates looking at each other. Managers with their backs to the wall.

Lechia have none of that pressure. They are the more comfortable side coming into this match. They can afford to be measured, to manage the game, to trust their quality. That psychological difference matters. It shows up in the first five minutes of a match more often than anything a coach draws on a board during the week.

The thing is, sometimes pressure produces the opposite of what you expect. Sometimes a team with everything to lose comes out with fire in their eyes. Radomiak's supporters will demand that on Monday. Whether the players deliver it is another question entirely.

The Verdict

Lechia Gdańsk go into this as the more composed side with the stronger recent league standing. Their attacking output is impressive. If they bring their best attitude to Radom on Monday, they have the quality to win this match.

But Radomiak are not without weapons. They have scored 43 goals in this league. They are not toothless. And they are at home. If they compete for every ball, stay organised defensively for the first twenty minutes, and make Lechia work in the middle of the park, there is absolutely a result available for them here.

Listen, I back Lechia to get something from this trip. They have more quality, more composure, and less at stake emotionally. That combination wins you football matches. But Radomiak will make it uncomfortable. They have to. There is no other option for a side in 15th place with their season on the line.

This is a results business. Both teams know what they need from Monday night. The side that shows more accountability on the pitch will get it. It really is that simple.

Read full preview
Radomiak Radom

RAD

L L D W W212LBTTS 60%

Radomiak Radom dominated at home, winning 3-1 to secure their second consecutive victory over Lechia. The hosts scored 3 goals despite averaging 2 for per match across their last five outings. This result reversed a troubling run; they had lost 3 of their previous 5 matches. The 3-1 scoreline marked a significant attacking display from a side languishing in 8th position, suggesting renewed offensive potency.

Lechia Gdańsk

LGD

L L L L L005LBTTS 100%

Lechia Gdańsk conceded 3 goals in a heavy defeat, extending their winless streak to 4 matches. The visitors have now shipped 7 goals across their last five games while scoring just 1. Despite generating 7.00 xG for in that span, they failed to convert chances and offered little resistance. The loss leaves them in 15th, having kept no clean sheets in their recent fixtures.

Run-in & context

Radomiak's victory lifted them to 8th with 3 points gained; Lechia dropped further toward the relegation zone in 15th. Our model flagged Lechia's defensive fragility, with 0 clean sheets in five matches and a goals-against tally of 7. The result widened the gap between the sides and suggests Radomiak's form has stabilized while Lechia face mounting pressure at the foot of the table.

Injury impact

  • RAD have a near-full squad available.

  • LGD are missing 1 player ruled out, including Alvis Jaunzems.

Venue

Venue to be confirmed.

Weather

Weather data unavailable for this venue.

Set pieces

  • Radomiak RadomUnavailable
  • Lechia GdańskUnavailable

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
24%
30%
45.6%RAD
24.0%Draw
30.4%LGD

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 59.7%No 40.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 56.4%No 43.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
33%
More Markets

Double Chance

1X
53.4%
12
5.1%
X2
41.5%

Half-Time Result

RAD
33.3%
Draw
41.3%
LGD
25.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.1%
No
91.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 802 0133.

Match Centre

Lineups, live stats, full odds comparison, and in-depth match data for Lechia Gdańsk vs Radomiak Radom.

View Match Centre

SSR Ratings & Movement

Metric
Radomiak Radom crestRAD
Lechia Gdańsk crestLGD
Overall1416+15.21477-15.2
Attack1504+10.01502-0.0
Defence1441-0.71489-9.3
Goals Index1522+12.11445+7.9
BTTS Index1549+8.51576+11.5

📝 Post-Match Analysis

Radomiak Radom 3-1 Lechia Gdańsk: Home Side Deliver When It Matters

Radomiak Radom put in a commanding home performance to beat Lechia Gdańsk 3-1 in the Polish Ekstraklasa, picking up three points that keep the pressure on in a congested mid-table. Lechia made a game...

Connor Maguire7 May
Read full analysis

Form Guide (Last 5)

Radomiak Radom crestRAD
LGDLechia Gdańsk crest
LLDWW
LLLLL
2-1-2Record (W-D-L)0-0-5
7Goals Scored6
40%Clean Sheet %0%
60%BTTS %100%

Head-to-Head

1 meetings
Matches
Venue
LGDDrawsRAD
0W (0%)0D (0%)1W (100%)
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
MarketCountRateStreak
BTTS (Yes)1/1100%1
Over 2.51/1100%1
Over 1.51/1100%-
Under 2.50/10%-
LGD Clean Sheet0/10%-
RAD Clean Sheet0/10%-

Match History

4 May 26
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom crest
3-1
Lechia Gdańsk crestLechia Gdańsk
L

Match facts at a glance

Kickoff
Last meeting
Radomiak Radom 3-1 Lechia Gdańsk (4 May 2026)
BTTS this season · Radomiak Radom
60%
BTTS this season · Lechia Gdańsk
100%
Our prediction
Radomiak Radom to win (46%)
Our value pick
Radomiak Radom Win (+3.6% edge vs market)

Frequently Asked Questions

Curious how this prediction was produced? See our methodology.

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All predictions and analysis on this page are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds displayed are sourced from third-party bookmakers and are subject to change. SportSignals may receive commission from bookmaker links on this page.

Last updated 8 minutes ago ·