Panama vs Croatia
Panama 0–1 Croatia
Croatia secured a 1-0 victory over Panama in their World Cup 2026 group stage opener, but the pre-match signals pointed to a more open game than the scoreline suggests, with the model's BTTS and over 2.5 goals projections failing to materialise in a match that finished well under expectations on volume.
Croatia claimed an impressive away victory to boost their season.
A tight defensive display kept the scoring low in this closely fought game.
The result has implications at both ends of the Croatia end of the standings.
Croatia 1-0 Panama: Dalic's Side Grind Out the Points But the Underlying Numbers Tell a Cautionary Tale
Croatia secured a 1-0 victory over Panama in their World Cup 2026 group stage opener, but the pre-match signals pointed to a more open game than the scoreline suggests, with the model's BTTS and over 2.5 goals projections failing to materialise in a match that finished well under expectations on volume.
Read full report →- 46'off: Petar Musa
- 46'off: Josko Gvardiol
- 54'assist: Josip Stanisic
- 61'Foul
- 72'off: Marco Pašalić
- 72'off: Mateo Kovacic
- 77'off: Jiovany Ramos
- 81'off: Luka Modrić
- 83'off: José Fajardo
- 90'off: César Blackman
- 90'off: Yoel Bárcenas
- 90+2'Foul
Expected Goals (xG)
Pressure Index
Sampled every minute from in-play data. Higher values reflect the side dominating possession, shots, and corners.
How the result affects the World Cup 2026 standings.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mexico | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 1 |  Colombia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 1 |  Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 1 |  Brazil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 1 |  England | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 1 |  Germany | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 1 |  Argentina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 1 |  Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
What was the final score of Panama vs Croatia?
The match finished 0-1 to Croatia.
Who won Panama vs Croatia?
Croatia won the match 1-0.
When did Panama vs Croatia take place?
The match took place on Wednesday, 24 June 2026.
📊 AI-generated recap and structured data
Panama fell to Croatia 0-1 in World Cup 2026 qualifying. Our model favored Croatia at 52 percent probability, and the pick landed. Croatia's solitary goal proved decisive on a day when Panama managed no shots of note. The visitors controlled possession through the middle stages, while Panama's attacking setup yielded little threat. Croatia's recent form showed mixed results, though the win here kept their qualification hopes intact. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The result keeps Croatia in contention at third with three points, while Panama remains pointless in fourth and faces mounting pressure in a competitive group. Croatia's win steadied their campaign after the England loss; our model suggested their defensive frailty was correctable, and this shutout proved it. Panama's inability to score across two matches signals deeper offensive problems in their qualifying bid.
Panama v Croatia · World Cup 2026 · 24/06/2026, 00:00:00