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New York RB to win
Our model rates this at 45% (fair decimal price 2.20); the timestamped displayed price implies 41% and was observed 2 Aug, 00:00.
New York RB to win
The timestamped displayed price sits 4.4 percentage points above our modelled fair line for this outcome (fair decimal price 2.20).
New York RB vs Orlando City kicks off UK time in the Major League Soccer. Our model's pick is New York RB to win at a 45.4% modelled probability (fair decimal price 2.20), displayed at 2.44 with Matchbook as observed 2 Aug, 00:00. The market price sits 4.4 percentage points above our modelled fair line, so the model and value reads agree.
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Model, set before kick-offMarket, implied by the best pre-match price
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New York RB host Orlando City in MLS action on August 1st at 23:30 UTC. The hosts have won two of their last five matches while both sides have seen both teams score in the majority of recent outings; New York registered BTTS in 80% of their last five games compared to Orlando's 60%. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Both teams languish in the lower half with identical 2W-3L recent records. New York RB's zero clean sheets in five matches aligns with Orlando's 20% shutout rate, signalling a likely high-scoring contest. Orlando rank one place below the hosts; both need points urgently as the season enters its final stretch. Our model expects attacking intent from both sides.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
New York RB v Orlando City · Major League Soccer · 02/08/2026, 00:30:00