Panama vs Croatia
Panama 0–1 Croatia
Croatia secured a 1-0 victory over Panama in their World Cup 2026 group stage opener, but the pre-match signals pointed to a more open game than the scoreline suggests, with the model's BTTS and over 2.5 goals projections failing to materialise in a match that finished well under expectations on volume.
Croatia claimed an impressive away victory to boost their season.
A tight defensive display kept the scoring low in this closely fought game.
The result has implications at both ends of the Croatia end of the standings.
Croatia 1-0 Panama: Dalic's Side Grind Out the Points But the Underlying Numbers Tell a Cautionary Tale
Croatia secured a 1-0 victory over Panama in their World Cup 2026 group stage opener, but the pre-match signals pointed to a more open game than the scoreline suggests, with the model's BTTS and over 2.5 goals projections failing to materialise in a match that finished well under expectations on volume.
Read full report →- 46'off: Petar Musa
- 46'off: Josko Gvardiol
- 54'assist: Josip Stanisic
- 61'Foul
- 72'off: Marco Pašalić
- 72'off: Mateo Kovacic
- 77'off: Jiovany Ramos
- 81'off: Luka Modrić
- 83'off: José Fajardo
- 90'off: César Blackman
- 90'off: Yoel Bárcenas
- 90+2'Foul
Expected Goals (xG)
How the result affects the World Cup 2026 standings.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 1 |  Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 1 |  Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 1 |  Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 1 |  Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 1 |  Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 1 |  United States | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 1 |  Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
What was the final score of Panama vs Croatia?
The match finished 0-1 to Croatia.
Who won Panama vs Croatia?
Croatia won the match 1-0.
When did Panama vs Croatia take place?
The match took place on Wednesday, 24 June 2026.
📊 AI-generated recap and structured data
Croatia won 1-0 against Panama in World Cup 2026 qualifying. Our model backed a Croatia victory at 52 percent probability, and the pick landed. Panama offered little attacking threat; the side had failed to score in four of its last five matches. Croatia managed the game efficiently, converting its opportunity while keeping Panama at arm's length throughout. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The result moved Croatia to second place in the group standings, extending their unbeaten run to two matches. Panama remain fourth with no wins from five attempts and face an uphill battle to qualify. Our model suggests Croatia's defensive solidity and Panama's continued inability to score represent a significant form divergence that will shape their remaining fixture outcomes.
Panama v Croatia · World Cup 2026 · 24/06/2026, 00:00:00