FC St. PaulivGRF
xG lean
FC St. Paulito win
1.83bwin1.75Betfair1.75Coral
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Under 2.5 goals
Our model rates this at 49% (fair decimal price 2.05); the verified best displayed price implies 43% and was observed 2 Aug, 13:06.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win
The timestamped displayed price sits 10.8 percentage points above our modelled fair line for this outcome (fair decimal price 2.67).
FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth kicks off UK time in the 2. Bundesliga. Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 48.8% modelled probability (fair decimal price 2.05), best priced 2.35 with bet365 as observed 2 Aug, 13:06. The value angle is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win at a displayed price of 3.75, 10.8 percentage points above our modelled fair price.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Model, set before kick-offMarket, implied by the best pre-match price
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Match preview
FC St. Pauli have not won in ten league matches, conceding twenty goals in the process. SpVgg Greuther Fürth arrive with problems of their own, but the numbers suggest this contest could be tighter than the home side's status might imply. Our updated preview, with predictions and early injury news, is here.
Read the full preview →The model's most likely half-time picture, priced where our tracked bookmakers offer the market.
18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
No AI summary available yet for this fixture.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
FC St. Pauli v SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga · 09/08/2026, 12:30:00