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Bet Builder TipModel confidence: LowModel edgeEdge -5.7%

Hibernian v Motherwell bet builder tip

Scottish Premiership Β· Sat 16 May, 12:30

Hibernian crestHIB
v
Motherwell crestMOT

The three legs pivot on Motherwell's season-long defensive frailty (57 goals conceded) against Hibernian's attacking efficiency (62 goals scored, 1.8 per match average), which supports early scoring and both teams breaching each other. However, Hibernian's defensive solidity (30 goals conceded) and Motherwell's tendency to play compressed, cautious football should constrain the overall goal total below 2.5.

Illustrative return on Β£10
Β£38.60

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Bookmaker-implied chance
26%

Derived from combined odds (100 / price). Includes bookmaker margin.

SportSignals confidence
Low

Qualitative read on the thesis. Informational, not advice.

Why these three legs fit together

The three legs pivot on Motherwell's season-long defensive frailty (57 goals conceded) against Hibernian's attacking efficiency (62 goals scored, 1.8 per match average), which supports early scoring and both teams breaching each other. However, Hibernian's defensive solidity (30 goals conceded) and Motherwell's tendency to play compressed, cautious football should constrain the overall goal total below 2.5.

Leg-by-leg breakdown

  1. 1Goals in 1st Half

    Over 0.5 Goals in 1st Half

    Hibernian have averaged 1.8 goals per match across 35 games this season, whilst Motherwell have conceded 57 goals in the same span, suggesting attacking intent from the hosts early. The model assigns 76% probability to this outcome, marginally ahead of the current market price of 77%.

    1.25 - 1.30
    Model76%
    Market77%-0.9% edge
  2. 2Total Goals

    Under 2.5 Goals

    Motherwell's defensive record of 57 goals conceded in 35 matches indicates they defend deeper and more cautiously, which should compress the tempo of play in the first half. Hibernian's well-organised defensive structure (30 goals conceded in 35 games) suggests they do not need to press aggressively, supporting a lower total in the match.

    2.06 - 2.15
    Model47%
    Market47%+0.7% edge
  3. 3Both Teams to Score

    Both Teams to Score - Yes

    Motherwell have conceded 57 goals in 35 games whilst scoring 48, creating a goal difference of minus 9 that reflects their tendency to leak goals consistently. Hibernian's goal-scoring record of 62 in 35 matches paired with Motherwell's defensive vulnerabilities makes both teams likely to find the net, with the model probability of 56% reflecting the structural imbalance in defensive quality.

    1.44 - 1.50
    Model56%
    Market67%-10.5% edge

Bet builder track record

Sample size
868
Wins
164
Profit on Β£10 stake
Β£1853.10
ROI
21.3%

Settled tips between 2026-04-16 and 2026-05-12. Tips with legs we cannot deterministically settle (Over/Under, BTTS) are treated as void. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Where to place this tip

FAQ

What selections are included in this Bet Builder tip for Hibernian vs Motherwell?

This Bet Builder combines three legs: Over 0.5 Goals in the first half, Under 2.5 Goals for the match total, and Both Teams to Score. All three selections must come in for the bet to win. The combined odds are 3.86.

How are each of the legs settled in this bet?

The first half goals leg settles once the first 45 minutes are complete - you need at least one goal in that period. Total goals is settled at full-time and requires the match to finish with 0, 1, or 2 goals. Both Teams to Score means you need at least one goal from Hibernian and at least one goal from Motherwell by the final whistle.

Where can I place this Bet Builder tip?

You can build and place this bet through the Bet Builder feature on the SportSignals platform. Select each leg from the available markets for the Hibernian vs Motherwell match, and the odds will combine to show your potential return at 3.86.

What should I know before placing any bet?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Betting is for those aged 18+. Always gamble responsibly and within your means. If you have concerns about your gambling habits, visit BeGambleAware.org for support and information. Only bet what you can afford to lose.

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