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Aston Villa 4 Nottingham Forest 0, full time in the UEFA Europa League. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 3 times in the fixtures we hold, with Aston Villa winning 1, Nottingham Forest winning 1 and 1 drawn.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa edged out Nottingham Forest 1-0 in the UEFA Europa League, a tight and tense affair that saw the pre-match signals for goals and BTTS fall flat as both defences stood firm on a massive European night.
Our pick
Aston Villa to win
Result
Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa beat Nottingham Forest 4-0 at home.
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: Aston Villa 3.08 to Nottingham Forest 0.45 on expected goals.


Aston Villa edged out Nottingham Forest 1-0 in the UEFA Europa League, a tight and tense affair that saw the pre-match signals for goals and BTTS fall flat as both defences stood firm on a massive European night.
Read full report →+2 more events without full detail from the data feed.
Expected Goals (xG)
The match finished 4-0 to Aston Villa.
Aston Villa won the match 4-0.
The match took place on Thursday, 7 May 2026.
Aston Villa dispatched Nottingham Forest 4-0 at Villa Park in the Europa League, a comprehensive result that vindicated our model's pre-match pick of an Aston Villa win at 49% probability. The hosts dominated throughout, with Forest offering little resistance in a one-sided contest. Villa's attacking prowess proved decisive; Forest's recent form, which included just one draw in their last five matches, offered scant hope of a comeback. Our model's selection landed cleanly. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The result handed Aston Villa a commanding advantage in the tie and provided momentum after two consecutive league defeats. Villa remained in second position domestically while progressing confidently in Europe. Nottingham Forest, sitting 13th in the league, suffered a heavy setback in their European campaign. The 4-0 margin suggests the tie is effectively settled heading into the return fixture.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest · UEFA Europa League · 07/05/2026, 20:00:00