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Al-Qadsiah 3 Al Nassr 1, full time in the Saudi Pro League. Our model's pre-match pick was Al Nassr to win, which did not land.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Al-Qadsiah 3–1 Al Nassr
Al-Qadsiah produced a composed and convincing home performance to beat Al Nassr 3-1, dealing a significant blow to the visitors' Saudi Pro League title challenge with just a handful of games remaining.
Our pick
Al Nassr to win
Result
3:1QAD v ANA
Al-Qadsiah beat Al Nassr 3-1 at home.
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: Al-Qadsiah 1.83 to Al Nassr 0.83 on expected goals.
Assist: Christopher Bonsu Baah
Al-Qadsiah produced a composed and convincing home performance to beat Al Nassr 3-1, dealing a significant blow to the visitors' Saudi Pro League title challenge with just a handful of games remaining.
Read full report →Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
João Félix
Iñigo Martínez
OtávioJoão Félix
Musab Al-Juwayr
Ayman Yahya
Gabriel Carvalho
Ali Abdullah Hazazi
Saad Al-Nasser
Julián Quiñones
Sultan Al-Ghannam
Abdullah Al-Hamdan
Abdulrahman GhareebAyman YahyaExpected Goals (xG)
How the result affects the Saudi Pro League standings.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Al Taawoun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Abha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Al Fateh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Faisaly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Al Hilal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Al Ahli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The match finished 3-1 to Al-Qadsiah.
Al-Qadsiah won the match 3-1.
The match took place on Sunday, 3 May 2026.
Al-Qadsiah defeated Al Nassr 3-1 in the Saudi Pro League, a result that caught our model off guard. We had favored Al Nassr at 52 percent probability, but the pick missed as the hosts dominated. Al-Qadsiah's recent form showed inconsistency with one win in five matches, yet they broke pattern here with a commanding performance. Both sides found the net, fitting with Al-Qadsiah's tendency toward both teams scoring in four of their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The result handed Al-Qadsiah a statement win and three points that tightened the title race. Al Nassr remained top but saw their lead reduced; our model flagged their 60% clean-sheet rate as vulnerable against high-pressing opponents. Al-Qadsiah's fourth-place finish now looks competitive, with momentum shifting after a run of draws. The loss exposed cracks in the leaders' consistency at 1W-1L across their last two outings.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Al-Qadsiah v Al Nassr · Saudi Pro League · 03/05/2026, 19:00:00
Abha
Al Faisaly
