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Model probabilities compared with eligible market prices.
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Move from the current card into the league or question you want to answer.
Match results, model accuracy and Tips ROI are different datasets. Each is labelled independently.
Move from a qualified opportunity to an alert, recorded position and closing-line review in one workflow.
The current qualified board across every covered competition.
+EVCompare model probability with eligible market prices.
PlayersQualified player markets with sample and freshness checks.
MonitorSave criteria and monitor qualifying opportunities.
EvidenceRecord positions and review closing-line movement.
The method distinguishes a prediction, a price edge and a qualified Tip.
Produce outcome probabilities from the current model inputs.
Compare those estimates with fresh, region-eligible prices.
Reject stale, thin, malformed or insufficiently supported rows.
Record resolved outcomes in the appropriate public performance dataset.
Plain-English guides for readers who want to examine the method, not just the outcome.
Original reporting and match analysis with enough context to explain what changed and why it matters.
Newcastle's 2-1 friendly loss to Bayer Leverkusen was almost beside the point. The real story is Matthias Jaissle's attempt to rebuild a squad stripped of Gordon, Tonali and Guimarães, and conflicting reports over how close the Amar Dedic deal actually is before Liverpool arrive.
By David Adams · · Updated
Arne Slot has confirmed he held informal talks with the KNVB over the vacant Netherlands job before withdrawing, insisting his next role will be in club football. The former Liverpool boss also denied reports that the talks collapsed over salary and contract length.
By David Adams · · Updated
Jose Mourinho has revealed in a new Netflix documentary that he signed to replace Sir Alex Ferguson at Manchester United in 2013 before tearfully reneging out of loyalty to Chelsea. The decision paved the way for David Moyes and a decade of managerial turmoil at Old Trafford.
By David Adams · · Updated
A prediction is a model probability. A Tip is a separately published selection that has also passed the current price, edge, freshness and data-quality gates. A model favourite is not automatically a Tip.
When at least one qualified Tip is published, a registered user can see the first immutable daily assignment. SportSignals+ is one subscription at 19.99 GBP a month, or a 9.99 GBP weekend pass. A free account is not a trial: it keeps the settled record, the Free Pick of the Week, the top of every board and five picks a day, for as long as you want it.
Every odds surface shows its capture time. Only fresh, unsuspended prices from sportsbooks eligible for the resolved region are considered; prices can move after capture and unavailable books are not substituted from another region.
Prediction accuracy, settled Tip returns and live Plus scanner opportunities are different datasets. This page labels them separately, and the public accuracy and methodology pages explain the relevant samples and calculations.
