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The model pick is the outcome the model rates most likely based on form, xG, injuries and head to head. The value pick is where the bookmakers' odds look too generous against that probability, so a bet there should return more over the long run.
When the two agree it's a strong signal. When they disagree, the model expects one team to win more often than the odds suggest, so backing the underdog at a long price can still be the better bet even if you don't expect them to win this single match.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. begambleaware.org
Burnley's failed pursuit of Barcelona goalkeeper Joan Garcia last summer reveals the delusional ambitions of Premier League strugglers. The 19th-placed club genuinely believed they could compete with Barcelona for La Liga's top shot-stopper, despite facing relegation to the Championship.
19 Apr 2026
Informational only. 18+. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org
| Bookie | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.96β | 3.67β | 4.26β | |
| 1.85 | 3.49 | 4.21 | |
| 1.90 | 3.54 | 4.10 | |
| 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.12 | |
| 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.00 | |
| 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.00 | |
| 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.10 | |
| 1.93 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
+4 more bookmakers on the full odds page.
Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.