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The model pick is the outcome the model rates most likely based on form, xG, injuries and head to head. The value pick is where the bookmakers' odds look too generous against that probability, so a bet there should return more over the long run.
When the two agree it's a strong signal. When they disagree, the model expects one team to win more often than the odds suggest, so backing the underdog at a long price can still be the better bet even if you don't expect them to win this single match.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. begambleaware.org
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Informational only. 18+. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org
| Bookie | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.95β | 3.75β | 1.92 | |
| 3.88 | 3.43 | 2.14β | |
| 3.88 | 3.37 | 2.08 | |
| 3.82 | 3.38 | 2.11 | |
| 3.83 | 3.52 | 1.93 | |
| 3.90 | 3.30 | 2.05 | |
| 3.65 | 3.45 | 2.10 | |
| 3.70 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
+10 more bookmakers on the full odds page.
Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Julian Alvarez has scored just once in La Liga since November despite nine Champions League goals, raising serious questions about Atletico Madrid's Β£81.5m record signing. The World Cup winner's domestic drought exposes the gulf between Diego Simeone's relentless pursuit and the harsh reality of a transfer that promised transformation but delivered frustration.
14 Apr 2026
Manchester United are preparing to trigger Pape Gueye's β¬45 million release clause at Villarreal, offering the Senegal midfielder a second chance at Premier League football. The 27-year-old's bizarre 17-hour stint at Watford in 2020 adds intrigue to a transfer that could reshape United's ageing midfield.
14 Apr 2026
Germany faces an unprecedented goalkeeper crisis with Manuel Neuer unwilling to return to international duty and Marc-AndrΓ© ter Stegen sidelined until mid-2025. The four-time World Cup winners must navigate qualifying without an established number one for the first time in decades.
9 Apr 2026
Tottenham are preparing a β¬14 million bid for River Plate's Ian Subiabre after the Argentine club rejected an β¬8 million offer, with Chelsea also pursuing the 19-year-old winger. The London rivals' battle for the teenager reflects a broader shift in Premier League transfer strategy toward South American wonderkids over expensive European signings.
9 Apr 2026