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Serie A · ItalyThe model pick is the outcome the model rates most likely based on form, xG, injuries and head to head. The value pick is where the bookmakers' odds look too generous against that probability, so a bet there should return more over the long run.
When the two agree it's a strong signal. When they disagree, the model expects one team to win more often than the odds suggest, so backing the underdog at a long price can still be the better bet even if you don't expect them to win this single match.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. begambleaware.org
Fiorentina to win+5 more unavailable.
Informational only. 18+. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org
| Bookie | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.66 | 3.37 | 2.24★ | |
| 3.66 | 3.28 | 2.22 | |
| 3.70★ | 3.30 | 2.14 | |
| 3.60 | 3.40★ | 2.14 | |
| 3.60 | 3.32 | 2.21 | |
| 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.22 | |
| 3.60 | 3.24 | 2.13 | |
| 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
+13 more bookmakers on the full odds page.
Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Aston Villa are preparing a summer move for West Ham's £26m-rated winger Crysencio Summerville, whose future depends entirely on whether the Hammers avoid Premier League relegation. The Dutch winger has scored seven goals despite West Ham's struggles, attracting interest from multiple clubs as the brutal economics of relegation threaten to turn a £25m+ signing into a cut-price departure.
16 Apr 2026
Former Tottenham sporting director Fabio Paratici has identified Lucas Bergvall as a summer target for Fiorentina, according to reports from Italy. The Swedish midfielder, who Paratici originally signed for Spurs in 2024, has emerged as one of the Premier League's most exciting young talents.
15 Apr 2026
Sporting manager Rui Borges has broken with Portuguese tradition by openly acknowledging captain Morten Hjulmand could leave the club. His candid admission that 'someone of value' would replace the Danish midfielder signals a pragmatic acceptance of Sporting's financial reality and potentially accelerates January transfer negotiations.
15 Apr 2026
Sporting CP's gentlemen's agreement with Morten Hjulmand gives the Portuguese champions complete control over his transfer fee, positioning them to extract maximum value from Europe's elite clubs. This unprecedented negotiating leverage could see the Danish midfielder's price soar above €70 million.
15 Apr 2026
AC Milan are preparing a €15 million plus Santiago Giménez swap deal for Fiorentina's Moise Kean, revealing both their financial constraints and tactical ambitions. The proposed exchange would see Milan bet on Kean's Serie A revival while Fiorentina gains a younger Mexican international with significant potential.
15 Apr 2026
Roberto De Zerbi has identified Moise Kean as a €50m solution to Tottenham's attacking woes, banking on the striker's Serie A revival to translate into Premier League success. The 26-year-old's transformation at Fiorentina offers hope, but his Everton failure looms large over this high-stakes gamble.
14 Apr 2026
