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The model pick is the outcome the model rates most likely based on form, xG, injuries and head to head. The value pick is where the bookmakers' odds look too generous against that probability, so a bet there should return more over the long run.
When the two agree it's a strong signal. When they disagree, the model expects one team to win more often than the odds suggest, so backing the underdog at a long price can still be the better bet even if you don't expect them to win this single match.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. begambleaware.org
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Informational only. 18+. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org
| Bookie | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.96★ | 3.17 | 2.76★ | |
| 2.89 | 3.10 | 2.70 | |
| 2.89 | 3.07 | 2.73 | |
| 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.70 | |
| 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.65 | |
| 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.62 | |
| 2.85 | 3.06 | 2.66 | |
| 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
+9 more bookmakers on the full odds page.
Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Tottenham and Aston Villa are considering a €30m move for Sassuolo defender Tarik Muharemovic, despite the 23-year-old having just 18 months of Serie A experience. The fee would represent a 600% profit for Sassuolo on their €5m investment, raising questions about value in an inflated transfer market.
16 Apr 2026
AC Milan have identified Leonardo Spinazzola as a prime summer target, with the Napoli left-back set to become a free agent in June 2025. The Rossoneri's pursuit highlights their shrewd free agent strategy while exposing Napoli's contract mismanagement, potentially shifting the balance in next season's race for Champions League places.
16 Apr 2026
Cristiano Ronaldo missed Al Nassr's victory celebrations after suffering stomach pains and vomiting, marking his latest fitness concern at age 39. The illness adds to a pattern of physical setbacks that could impact Al Nassr's title chase and betting markets, with crucial fixtures looming in the Saudi Pro League's final stretch.
15 Apr 2026
Former Tottenham sporting director Fabio Paratici has identified Lucas Bergvall as a summer target for Fiorentina, according to reports from Italy. The Swedish midfielder, who Paratici originally signed for Spurs in 2024, has emerged as one of the Premier League's most exciting young talents.
15 Apr 2026
Arkadiusz Milik faces another season-ending injury just weeks after returning from an 18-month absence, leaving Juventus with only Dusan Vlahovic as their senior striker. The 32-year-old's latest setback raises serious questions about his future while forcing Juventus into the January transfer market.
15 Apr 2026
Scott McTominay could double his wages to £5.2m per year with a new Napoli contract until 2030, just months after leaving Manchester United. His Serie A success has sparked unprecedented interest in Scottish players across Europe, with Andy Robertson, Scott McKenna and others attracting major offers.
15 Apr 2026
Manchester City's £27m investment in James Trafford has backfired spectacularly after Gianluigi Donnarumma's arrival left the England goalkeeper frozen out. Tottenham, Aston Villa and Newcastle are now circling for a player who hasn't started a Premier League match since August despite earning his first England cap last month.
15 Apr 2026
John Terry has emerged as the face of a £14m consortium bid to buy League Two Colchester United, attending Tuesday's match to signal serious intent. The Chelsea legend's involvement represents a third takeover attempt for a club stuck in the fourth tier for a decade, offering genuine hope of transformation after two previous deals collapsed.
15 Apr 2026
AC Milan are preparing a €15 million plus Santiago Giménez swap deal for Fiorentina's Moise Kean, revealing both their financial constraints and tactical ambitions. The proposed exchange would see Milan bet on Kean's Serie A revival while Fiorentina gains a younger Mexican international with significant potential.
15 Apr 2026
Nathan De Cat's €22.5m market value surge makes him the hottest property outside Europe's top leagues, with Bayern Munich leveraging Vincent Kompany's inside knowledge against Tottenham and Leipzig. The 17-year-old's summer exit from Anderlecht appears certain as contract talks stall, but physical limitations mean loan moves will multiply betting opportunities.
14 Apr 2026
PSG are preparing to offer Luis Enrique a contract until 2030 that would make him one of football's three highest-paid managers. The deal signals a dramatic shift from their galactico-focused strategy to long-term managerial stability, potentially reshaping their Champions League prospects and betting markets.
14 Apr 2026
Napoli sporting director Giovanni Manna has confirmed sanctions against Romelu Lukaku as teammates distance themselves from the Belgian striker. The latest crisis in Lukaku's troubled career threatens to derail Napoli's season and has already impacted betting markets, with the club's top-four odds drifting significantly.
14 Apr 2026
Juventus have opened talks to sign Darwin Nunez from Al Hilal, moving ahead of Chelsea in the race for the £85m Premier League winner. The striker's potential return to Europe after just one season exemplifies the Saudi Pro League's growing talent drain.
14 Apr 2026
Angelo Stiller's £40 million release clause has triggered a transfer scramble among Europe's elite clubs. The 23-year-old Stuttgart midfielder represents rare value in today's market, combining technical excellence with tactical versatility at a fraction of the usual cost for top talent.
14 Apr 2026
Former Chelsea midfielder Oscar has been forced into immediate retirement at 34 after collapsing during training with a cardiac issue. The Brazilian, who was unconscious for two minutes during the November incident, has decided to prioritise his health over continuing a career that saw him win two Premier League titles and become one of football's highest earners in China.
14 Apr 2026
Bernardo Silva will leave Manchester City as a free agent this summer after nine trophy-laden years, with Barcelona and Juventus leading the race for his signature. The 31-year-old Portuguese playmaker's availability without a transfer fee creates a rare opportunity for Europe's elite clubs to secure proven quality while City prepare for life after one of their most decorated players.
14 Apr 2026
Liverpool captain Virgil van Dijk has made an unprecedented admission that his team 'gave up' during their 4-0 FA Cup defeat to Manchester City, exposing a complete mental collapse at Anfield. The confession reveals deep-rooted issues under Arne Slot, with the reigning champions now 24 points worse off than last season and facing a Champions League crisis.
13 Apr 2026
Marcos Senesi will leave Bournemouth on a free transfer this summer, with Chelsea, Tottenham and Manchester United competing for the Argentine defender who has started 23 of 24 league matches. The departure continues Bournemouth's defensive exodus after banking £104.5 million from sales last summer, highlighting how mid-table success creates vulnerability to bigger clubs.
13 Apr 2026
Alisson Becker has told Liverpool he wants to join Juventus this summer after concluding that Giorgi Mamardashvili is being groomed as his replacement. The Brazilian goalkeeper's potential exit would mark the third high-profile departure from Klopp's title-winning squad, raising questions about Liverpool's aggressive rebuild strategy.
13 Apr 2026
Bayern Munich have targeted Chelsea's Josh Acheampong as their latest Premier League academy raid, while Bernardo Silva's confirmed Manchester City exit has sparked an unexpected bidding war featuring Turkish giants Galatasaray alongside Barcelona, Juventus and Benfica.
13 Apr 2026