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FA Cup · Sun 26 Apr, 15:00
Chelsea
LeedsThis selection reflects a Chelsea side with proven home attacking credentials facing a Leeds team with acknowledged defensive problems but clear willingness to attack. The three legs combine Chelsea's favourite status, a high-scoring match environment created by contrasting attacking and defensive weaknesses, and both sides' capacity to find the net despite their league positions.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Derived from combined odds (100 / price). Includes bookmaker margin.
This selection reflects a Chelsea side with proven home attacking credentials facing a Leeds team with acknowledged defensive problems but clear willingness to attack. The three legs combine Chelsea's favourite status, a high-scoring match environment created by contrasting attacking and defensive weaknesses, and both sides' capacity to find the net despite their league positions.
Chelsea to win
Chelsea sit sixth in the league with 53 goals scored this season, demonstrating genuine attacking productivity, whilst Leeds arrive fifteenth having conceded 49 goals, reflecting significant defensive fragility at this level. The home advantage at Stamford Bridge, combined with Chelsea's superior league position and attacking output, positions them as strong favourites in a one-off cup tie.
Over 2.5 Goals
Chelsea have scored 53 league goals this season with Stamford Bridge being where sides of their attacking profile are typically most fluent, whilst Leeds have conceded 49 goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that will be exposed by Chelsea's creative energy. The combination of Chelsea's prolific home form and Leeds' porous backline creates the conditions for a match containing multiple goals.
Both Teams to Score - Yes
Leeds possess genuine attacking intent with 39 goals scored despite their fifteenth place finish, suggesting they will not simply attempt to survive defensively in this tie. Chelsea's defensive inconsistency, having conceded 41 goals despite their sixth place standing, creates opportunities for Leeds to capitalise on if they can stay organised long enough to create attacking moments.
Settled tips between 2026-04-16 and 2026-05-04. Tips with legs we cannot deterministically settle (Over/Under, BTTS) are treated as void. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
No. Bet builder tips are model-driven suggestions, not predictions of outcomes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
We combine match-result, totals and BTTS markets that fit a single coherent story about how we expect the match to play out, then surface the price and edge so you can decide for yourself.
Edge is our model's combined win probability minus the market-implied probability across all three legs. Positive edge means the price looks generous relative to our model.
Shorter odds describe tighter prices, Long shot covers longer accas, and Model edge marks tips where our combined edge clears the threshold.
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