Two sides heading in different directions arrive at Anfield on Saturday afternoon, and the context around this fixture tells an interesting story. Liverpool sit fifth in the Premier League table with 49 points from 31 matches, a position that reflects a campaign of genuine inconsistency. Fulham, managed by Marco Alexandre Saraiva da Silva since July 2021, travel to Merseyside in ninth with 44 points from the same number of games. The gap between them is only five points. And that brings us to the first real question worth asking: should the market be as dismissive of Fulham as the odds suggest?
Liverpool's home record this season carries enough authority to justify their favouritism. Arne Slot's side have won 8 of their 15 home matches, drawn 4 and lost 3, scoring 27 and conceding 17 at Anfield. That is a respectable platform, but here is what nobody is asking: three home defeats is not the record of a side dominating their own ground. The 17 goals conceded at home across 15 games means they have been breached regularly, and opponents have found them accessible in ways the overall standings perhaps obscure.
| Home Played | 15 |
| Home Wins | 8 |
| Home Draws | 4 |
| Home Losses | 3 |
| Goals Scored at Home | 27 |
| Goals Conceded at Home | 17 |
Liverpool's overall form reads LDLWW coming into this match. Two wins to close the sequence provide some momentum, but the losses and draw before them speak to a team that has not found consistency over a sustained run. Their overall record of 14 wins, 7 draws and 10 defeats from 31 league matches tells the same story: a side that can beat anyone and lose to anyone. The goal difference sits at plus 8, scoring 50 and conceding 42 across the season.
| League Position | 5th |
| Points | 49 from 31 |
| Record | 14W 7D 10L |
| Goals Scored | 50 |
| Goals Conceded | 42 |
| Goal Difference | +8 |
The thread that runs through Fulham's away form this season is genuinely difficult. They have won just 4 of their 15 away matches, drawn 3 and lost 8, conceding 25 goals on the road while scoring only 16. That away goal difference of minus 9 is a significant signal, and it will be the number Marco Silva's side need to address most urgently if they are to stay competitive at Anfield. Their overall goal difference stands at minus 1, which puts into perspective how much their home form has masked their vulnerability when travelling.
| Away Played | 15 |
| Away Wins | 4 |
| Away Draws | 3 |
| Away Losses | 8 |
| Goals Scored Away | 16 |
| Goals Conceded Away | 25 |
Let's be fair to Fulham though. Their recent form reads WDLWW, a sequence almost identical to Liverpool's, and that back-to-back winning finish suggests they are in reasonable condition heading into this fixture. At home this season they have been genuinely strong, winning 9 of 16 and conceding only 19 in those matches. The real question is whether that home confidence can translate on the road against a side with real quality and a partisan 61,276-capacity stadium behind them.
| League Position | 9th |
| Points | 44 from 31 |
| Record | 13W 5D 13L |
| Goals Scored | 43 |
| Goals Conceded | 44 |
| Goal Difference | -1 |
Change to 'Arne Slot, the Dutch manager, arrived at Liverpool in June 2024' โ removing the unverified claim that he came 'from the Netherlands' as a place of previous employment, since the data sheet only confirms his nationality., stepping into one of the most scrutinised jobs in European football. The early evidence suggests he has maintained the structural identity of the club while adding his own imprint. Liverpool still press with conviction, still carry threat in transition, but the 10 league defeats already accumulated this season suggest the margin for error across a full campaign has been higher than expected. Slot will be working to sharpen that consistency in a run of matches that still carries real implications at the top end of the table.
Marco Alexandre Saraiva da Silva has been at Fulham since July 2021, and the stability of that tenure shows in how Fulham operate. They are an organised, structured outfit who can hurt you through direct, purposeful attacking play. The Portuguese manager will know the scale of the task away at Anfield, but his side's WDLWW form suggests they will not arrive without belief. Whether belief is enough against a Liverpool side that can genuinely turn it on at home is the real question.
The market positions Liverpool as strong favourites, with Betfair Exchange pricing them at 1.64 to win. Fulham are available at 5.4 with the draw sitting at 4.6. Those numbers reflect the context reasonably enough: Liverpool are at home, Fulham's away record is poor, and the hosts have the deeper squad quality on paper. But here is what nobody is asking when they look at the raw result market: Liverpool's home record is good but not dominant, and Fulham have shown enough resilience in their recent sequence to suggest they will not simply roll over.
suggesting a small negative edge on the Fulham pick. which means this is one of those moments where the data is telling you to hold your horses. I would leave the raw result market alone unless you have a strong conviction that Liverpool's home quality will carry the day. The picture is genuinely competitive here.
Liverpool are strong home favourites and carry genuine quality at Anfield, but their home record of 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 15 games does not suggest total dominance. Fulham arrive with WDLWW form and will be organised defensively. The model edge on this market is marginally negative. Liverpool are the logical selection but at 1.64, the value is thin. Consider carefully before committing.
Liverpool should win this. Their home record, their underlying quality under Arne Slot, and Fulham's persistent struggles on the road all point in that direction. But I want to be honest about the nuance here. This is not a straightforward afternoon for Anfield to expect. Fulham's goal difference on the road tells you they concede, and Liverpool's home attack scoring 27 in 15 games suggests chances will come. There is a reasonable case that this ends with goals at both ends, which may be worth watching in the BTTS market rather than the result outright.
The real question, and the one I keep coming back to, is whether Liverpool's inconsistency this season means Fulham can steal something unexpected. It has happened before this campaign. It could happen again. What I am confident in saying is that Fulham will not simply accept defeat. Marco Silva's side will make Liverpool work for everything they get at Anfield on Saturday, and the smart viewing is to expect a competitive match rather than a comfortable procession.
Liverpool vs Fulham kicks off at 16.30 Saturday 11th April 2026.
Our AI model predicts Fulham to win with 65% confidence. This is an AI-generated prediction for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The best available match result odds are: Liverpool to win at 1.71, Draw at 4.50, Fulham to win at 5.10. Odds are subject to change. 18+ only.
In their last 1 meetings, Liverpool have won 0, Fulham have won 0, with 1 draw.
Liverpool's last 5 home results: DW (1W 1D 0L, 6 goals scored, 3 conceded).
Fulham's last 5 away results: DW (1W 1D 0L, 3 goals scored, 1 conceded).
This match is being played at Anfield, Liverpool. The stadium has a capacity of 61,276.