DNB vs Double Chance

  • DNB (AH 0): Win on your team’s win; stake refunded on draw. Higher price than Double Chance, more upside if you’re confident.
  • Double Chance (Team or Draw): Lower price, lower risk; you need a market overlay to justify the trade‑off.

When to use

  • Tight matches with low scoring expectation.
  • Teams with strong defensive structure but limited attack.
  • Situations where a draw is common (e.g., cautious derbies).

Process

  1. Estimate probabilities for Win/Draw/Loss.
  2. Compute fair prices for DNB and DC from those probabilities.
  3. Shop lines. Only play overlays with level stakes.

Mistakes to avoid

  • Paying too much for “safety.” If DC is too short, your edge disappears.
  • Treating DNB as risk‑free—losses still happen if your team loses.

Related guides: Asian Handicap · Bankroll & Staking · Line Shopping